Houston Astros
59% win
6
pred 3.8
FINAL
Seattle Mariners
41% win
7
pred 4.2
2025-04-09 T-Mobile Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Victor Caratini OF 7.2 $2.2k 3.3
Brendan Rodgers OF 7.1 $2.4k 3.0
Miles Mastrobuoni OF 5.9 $2.0k 2.9
Rowdy Tellez OF 6.3 $2.2k 2.9
Cam Smith OF 5.8 $2.3k 2.5
Jake Meyers OF 6.4 $2.6k 2.5
Isaac Paredes OF 8.0 $3.7k 2.2
Luke Raley OF 7.0 $3.3k 2.1
Jeremy Peña OF 7.2 $3.4k 2.1
Christian Walker OF 8.6 $4.1k 2.1
Hunter Brown SP 20.8 $10.0k 2.1
J.P. Crawford OF 5.9 $3.0k 2.0
Cal Raleigh OF 7.5 $4.1k 1.8
Jorge Polanco OF 7.2 $4.2k 1.7
Yordan Alvarez OF 9.4 $5.5k 1.7
Randy Arozarena OF 6.6 $4.0k 1.7
Luis F. Castillo SP 11.1 $6.8k 1.6
Dylan Moore OF 5.6 $3.5k 1.6
Jose Altuve OF 8.1 $5.1k 1.6
Julio Rodríguez OF 7.3 $5.2k 1.4
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
Seattle Mariners +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + Seattle Mariners +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+446 · $446 per $100
LOSS
HOU 59% 41% SEA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.6% 19.4%
6.5 72.7% 27.3%
7.5 61.7% 38.3%
8.5 52.5% 47.5%
9.5 42.3% 57.7%
10.5 33.8% 66.2%
11.5 25.6% 74.4%
12.5 20.4% 79.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineSEA coversHOU covers
SEA -1.5 33.4% 39.7%
SEA -2.5 22.2% 30.1%
SEA -3.5 16.8% 21.5%
Team Totals
LineSEAHOU
O 3.5 57.6% 62.2%
O 4.5 44.4% 49.2%
O 5.5 30.9% 37.1%
O 6.5 20.7% 25.8%
Odds
moneyline HOU 59% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookHOUImpl%SEAImpl%
DraftKings -130 54.3% +110 45.7%
runline Seattle Mariners +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs SEA 4.2 no bet
SEA +1.5: SEA 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs HOU 3.8 BET ✓
BookHOUSEA
DraftKings -1.5 +136 +1.5 -162
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -102 U 7.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.4 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.6 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Cam Smith RF 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Brown Starter 5.6 6.5 5.1 2.1 2.7 49% 100% 20.8 —
Seattle Mariners
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cal Raleigh C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 7.5 —
Julio Rodríguez CF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.2 7.3 —
Jorge Polanco 2B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.2 —
Luke Raley RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.0 —
Randy Arozarena LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 6.6 —
Rowdy Tellez 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
J.P. Crawford SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 5.9 —
Miles Mastrobuoni 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
Dylan Moore 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Luis F. Castillo Starter 5.3 5.3 5.3 2.0 2.7 43% 100% 11.1 —