Baltimore Orioles
37% win
0
pred 5
FINAL
Arizona Diamondbacks
63% win
9
pred 4.7
2025-04-09 Chase Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Tim Tawa OF 7.2 $2.2k 3.3
Jose Herrera OF 6.9 $2.4k 2.9
Alek Thomas OF 8.0 $3.0k 2.7
Pavin Smith OF 9.4 $3.8k 2.5
Ramón Urías OF 8.4 $3.4k 2.5
Geraldo Perdomo OF 9.1 $3.9k 2.3
Jake McCarthy OF 7.3 $3.1k 2.3
Heston Kjerstad OF 7.6 $3.3k 2.3
Ryan O'Hearn OF 8.7 $3.9k 2.2
Eugenio Suárez OF 10.4 $4.8k 2.2
Josh Naylor OF 9.6 $4.7k 2.0
Brandon Pfaadt SP 15.3 $7.7k 2.0
Cedric Mullins OF 9.2 $4.7k 2.0
Corbin Carroll OF 11.1 $5.7k 2.0
Gunnar Henderson OF 10.7 $5.6k 1.9
Ryan Mountcastle OF 7.9 $4.2k 1.9
Tyler O'Neill OF 8.8 $4.8k 1.8
Dean Kremer SP 11.2 $6.5k 1.7
Jackson Holliday OF 6.9 $4.1k 1.7
Adley Rutschman OF 7.8 $5.1k 1.5
Best Bets
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML ★★ · +9.6% edge
-125 · $200 bet · $160 profit
Model: 63% vs Market: 53%
WIN
Predictions
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Arizona Diamondbacks ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+423 · $423 per $100
LOSS
BAL 37% 63% AZ
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.8% 14.2%
6.5 79.5% 20.5%
7.5 71.5% 28.5%
8.5 64.0% 36.0%
9.5 55.4% 44.6%
10.5 47.0% 53.0%
11.5 38.2% 61.8%
12.5 30.9% 69.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineAZ coversBAL covers
AZ -1.5 34.3% 39.8%
AZ -2.5 23.1% 31.0%
AZ -3.5 16.4% 23.3%
Team Totals
LineAZBAL
O 3.5 63.4% 69.9%
O 4.5 52.1% 56.0%
O 5.5 39.4% 44.4%
O 6.5 29.0% 32.6%
Odds
moneyline AZ 63% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookBALImpl%AZImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs BAL 5.0 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs AZ 4.7 BET ✗
BookBALAZ
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -112 U 9.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 10.7 —
Cedric Mullins CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 9.2 —
Tyler O'Neill RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.8 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.7 —
Ramón Urías 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.4 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 7.9 —
Adley Rutschman C 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.8 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.6 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Dean Kremer Starter 5.4 4.9 5.7 2.1 3.1 46% 100% 11.2 —
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.9 11.1 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.4 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 9.6 —
Pavin Smith 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.4 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Alek Thomas CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Jake McCarthy CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Tim Tawa 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Jose Herrera C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brandon Pfaadt Starter 5.9 5.8 6.4 1.8 3.6 46% 100% 15.3 —