Miami Marlins
33% win
5
pred 4.6
FINAL
New York Mets
67% win
0
pred 2.8
2025-04-09 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Hayden Senger OF 6.3 $2.2k 2.9
Brett Baty OF 7.1 $2.6k 2.7
Javier Sanoja OF 5.3 $2.0k 2.7
Griffin Conine OF 6.4 $2.5k 2.6
Jonah Bride OF 6.6 $2.6k 2.5
Matt Mervis OF 6.8 $2.7k 2.5
Tylor Megill SP 21.8 $8.7k 2.5
Tyrone Taylor OF 6.6 $2.7k 2.4
Graham Pauley OF 5.1 $2.3k 2.2
Brandon Nimmo OF 9.5 $4.3k 2.2
Dane Myers OF 5.9 $2.8k 2.1
Kyle Stowers OF 6.6 $3.2k 2.1
Mark Vientos OF 8.5 $4.3k 2.0
Francisco Lindor OF 10.3 $5.3k 1.9
Starling Marte OF 7.6 $3.9k 1.9
Nick Fortes OF 5.6 $3.0k 1.9
Pete Alonso OF 10.1 $5.5k 1.8
Juan Soto OF 11.1 $6.2k 1.8
Max Meyer SP 12.7 $7.4k 1.7
Xavier Edwards OF 7.0 $4.2k 1.7
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 67% vs Mkt 64%
-205 · $49 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 3.3 off line
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.4 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+411 · $411 per $100
LOSS
MIA 33% 67% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.1% 17.9%
6.5 75.3% 24.7%
7.5 64.7% 35.3%
8.5 56.7% 43.3%
9.5 46.2% 53.8%
10.5 39.2% 60.8%
11.5 31.1% 68.9%
12.5 25.8% 74.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversMIA covers
NYM -1.5 48.4% 22.3%
NYM -2.5 36.1% 15.4%
NYM -3.5 27.4% 10.2%
Team Totals
LineNYMMIA
O 3.5 72.0% 53.0%
O 4.5 61.0% 39.2%
O 5.5 46.5% 28.3%
O 6.5 33.1% 18.5%
Odds
moneyline NYM 67% · -205 · $49 per $100
BookMIAImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +170 35.5% -205 64.5%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -125 · $80 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 2.8 − 1.5 = 1.3 vs MIA 4.6 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs NYM 2.8 BET ✓
BookMIANYM
DraftKings +1.5 -125 -1.5 +105
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -112 U 7.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.0 7.0 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 6.8 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 6.6 —
Jonah Bride 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 6.6 —
Griffin Conine LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
Dane Myers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
Nick Fortes C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.6 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 5.3 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Max Meyer Starter 5.8 5.7 6.2 2.1 3.7 33% 100% 12.7 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 11.1 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 10.3 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.1 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.5 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.5 —
Starling Marte LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.6 —
Hayden Senger C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tylor Megill Starter 5.1 5.4 4.7 2.0 2.4 52% 100% 21.8 —