Miami Marlins
40% win
5
pred 5.2
FINAL
New York Mets
60% win
10
pred 3.3
2025-04-08 Citi Field 0°F
Best Bets
OVER 7.0
TOTAL ★ · +1.6 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 8.6 vs Line: 7.0
WIN
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 71%
-285 · $35 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 3.4 off line
-102 · $98 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
New York Mets ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+411 · $411 per $100
LOSS
MIA 40% 60% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 77.4% 22.6%
6.5 68.3% 31.7%
7.5 57.2% 42.8%
8.5 49.7% 50.3%
9.5 40.7% 59.3%
10.5 33.3% 66.7%
11.5 25.5% 74.5%
12.5 20.3% 79.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversMIA covers
NYM -1.5 38.5% 33.5%
NYM -2.5 28.1% 24.6%
NYM -3.5 20.0% 16.6%
Team Totals
LineNYMMIA
O 3.5 60.9% 55.4%
O 4.5 46.6% 42.2%
O 5.5 34.1% 29.6%
O 6.5 22.9% 22.0%
Odds
moneyline NYM 60% · -285 · $35 per $100
BookMIAImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +230 29.1% -285 70.9%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -102 · $98 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.3 − 1.5 = 1.8 vs MIA 5.2 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs NYM 3.3 BET ✗
BookMIANYM
DraftKings +1.5 -102 -1.5 -118
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -112 U 7.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.3 7.1 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.0 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0 6.9 —
Otto Lopez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
Liam Hicks C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.5 —
Griffin Conine LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.3 —
Derek Hill CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.0 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Connor Gillispie Starter 5.5 5.5 4.8 2.5 2.8 43% 100% 10.8 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 11.7 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 11.4 —
Francisco Lindor SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.0 10.5 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.1 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
Starling Marte LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
Hayden Senger C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Clay Holmes Starter 5.6 6.1 5.4 2.5 2.6 50% 100% 18.7 —