Chicago White Sox
40% win
0
pred 4.5
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
60% win
1
pred 3.8
2025-04-08 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Nick Maton OF 7.0 $2.3k 3.0
Bo Naylor OF 7.3 $2.5k 2.9
Mike Tauchman OF 8.1 $3.0k 2.7
Jacob Amaya OF 5.6 $2.1k 2.7
Matt Thaiss OF 7.2 $2.8k 2.6
Brooks Baldwin OF 6.5 $2.6k 2.5
Lenyn Sosa OF 7.3 $2.9k 2.5
Gabriel Arias OF 7.0 $2.9k 2.4
Ben Lively SP 15.7 $6.8k 2.3
Brayan Rocchio OF 6.7 $3.0k 2.2
Andrew Vaughn OF 8.1 $3.7k 2.2
Nolan Jones OF 7.8 $3.6k 2.2
Carlos Santana OF 8.5 $4.2k 2.0
Miguel Vargas OF 6.5 $3.3k 2.0
Lane Thomas OF 7.7 $4.1k 1.9
Kyle Manzardo OF 8.3 $4.4k 1.9
Luis Robert Jr. OF 7.1 $3.9k 1.8
Shane Smith SP 12.3 $7.1k 1.7
Steven Kwan OF 8.3 $4.8k 1.7
José Ramírez OF 8.3 $6.1k 1.4
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 64%
-205 · $49 per $100
WIN
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+403 · $403 per $100
LOSS
CWS 40% 60% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.4% 18.6%
6.5 73.3% 26.7%
7.5 61.1% 38.9%
8.5 53.3% 46.7%
9.5 43.5% 56.5%
10.5 36.2% 63.8%
11.5 28.0% 72.0%
12.5 22.5% 77.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversCWS covers
CLE -1.5 45.0% 26.7%
CLE -2.5 32.0% 19.0%
CLE -3.5 21.8% 12.4%
Team Totals
LineCLECWS
O 3.5 68.6% 53.0%
O 4.5 52.7% 41.7%
O 5.5 38.7% 30.4%
O 6.5 28.4% 20.3%
Odds
moneyline CLE 60% · -205 · $49 per $100
BookCWSImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings +170 35.5% -205 64.5%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · -130 · $77 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs CWS 4.5 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs CLE 3.8 BET ✓
BookCWSCLE
DraftKings +1.5 -130 -1.5 +110
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 +100 U 7.5 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mike Tauchman CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Andrew Vaughn 1B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.3 —
Matt Thaiss 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 7.2 —
Luis Robert Jr. CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Nick Maton 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.0 —
Brooks Baldwin 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.5 —
Miguel Vargas 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.5 —
Jacob Amaya SS 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.9 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shane Smith Starter 5.2 5.0 5.2 2.2 3.0 33% 100% 12.3 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 8.5 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.3 —
José Ramírez 3B 1.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.7 8.3 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.2 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.6 8.3 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.3 7.8 —
Lane Thomas CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.7 —
Bo Naylor C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.0 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ben Lively Starter 5.5 5.1 5.2 1.8 2.6 57% 100% 15.7 —