Miami Marlins
35% win
0
pred 5.3
FINAL
New York Mets
65% win
2
pred 2.6
2025-04-07 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Tyrone Taylor UTIL 8.0 $2.7k 3.0
Xavier Edwards UTIL 13.0 $4.4k 3.0
Jose Siri UTIL 7.0 $2.9k 2.4
Kodai Senga UTIL 19.1 $9.0k 2.1
Francisco Lindor UTIL 11.0 $5.4k 2.0
Juan Soto UTIL 12.0 $6.0k 2.0
Matt Mervis UTIL 5.0 $2.6k 1.9
Lake Bachar UTIL 7.2 $4.0k 1.8
Kyle Stowers UTIL 5.0 $3.2k 1.6
Pete Alonso UTIL 8.0 $5.5k 1.5
Mark Vientos UTIL 6.0 $4.4k 1.4
Graham Pauley UTIL 3.0 $2.2k 1.4
Griffin Conine UTIL 3.0 $2.5k 1.2
Dane Myers UTIL 3.0 $2.7k 1.1
Ryne Stanek UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Danny Young UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
José Buttó UTIL 7.3 $8.8k 0.8
Luisangel Acuña UTIL 2.0 $3.1k 0.7
Tyler Phillips UTIL 1.8 $6.0k 0.3
George Soriano UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Best Bets
Miami Marlins +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +4.3 off line
+110 · $300 bet · $330 profit
Model: 2.6 - 5.3
LOSS
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 65% vs Mkt 71%
-278 · $36 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 4.3 off line
+110 · $110 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+445 · $445 per $100
LOSS
MIA 35% 65% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.8% 18.2%
6.5 74.8% 25.2%
7.5 64.7% 35.3%
8.5 56.5% 43.5%
9.5 47.0% 53.0%
10.5 37.9% 62.1%
11.5 30.0% 70.0%
12.5 24.5% 75.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversMIA covers
NYM -1.5 43.2% 29.0%
NYM -2.5 31.7% 20.5%
NYM -3.5 22.8% 14.3%
Team Totals
LineNYMMIA
O 3.5 66.3% 56.2%
O 4.5 54.8% 43.7%
O 5.5 42.1% 34.1%
O 6.5 30.4% 22.6%
Odds
moneyline NYM 65% · -278 · $36 per $100
BookMIAImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +225 29.5% -278 70.5%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · +110 · $110 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 2.6 − 1.5 = 1.0 vs MIA 5.3 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.3 + 1.5 = 6.8 vs NYM 2.6 BET ✗
BookMIANYM
DraftKings +1.5 +110 -1.5 -130
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -122 U 7.0 +102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.4 6.7 —
Otto Lopez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 6.6 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.3 6.5 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 6.2 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
Griffin Conine LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.9 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.7 —
Nick Fortes C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.4 —
Dane Myers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Valente Bellozo Starter 5.2 4.3 5.2 2.0 3.1 37% 100% 8.0 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 12.7 —
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 12.7 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 11.0 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.3 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.9 —
Jesse Winker LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 7.5 —
Hayden Senger C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kodai Senga Starter 5.4 6.2 4.9 2.2 2.5 53% 100% 24.2 —