Toronto Blue Jays
48% win
6
pred 4.5
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
52% win
2
pred 4.5
2025-04-07 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Alan Roden OF 6.6 $2.2k 3.0
Nathan Lukes OF 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
David Hamilton OF 6.6 $2.7k 2.4
Alejandro Kirk OF 7.2 $3.0k 2.4
Triston Casas OF 8.2 $3.6k 2.3
Will Wagner OF 6.6 $3.0k 2.2
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.4 $3.0k 2.1
Wilyer Abreu OF 8.8 $4.3k 2.0
José Berríos SP 17.0 $8.3k 2.0
Rafael Devers OF 9.9 $5.0k 2.0
George Springer OF 8.1 $4.1k 2.0
Bo Bichette OF 8.6 $4.5k 1.9
Anthony Santander OF 8.9 $4.8k 1.9
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OF 9.8 $5.5k 1.8
Connor Wong OF 5.4 $3.1k 1.8
Andrés Giménez OF 7.6 $4.4k 1.7
Alex Bregman OF 8.9 $5.1k 1.7
Trevor Story OF 6.8 $4.2k 1.6
Richard Fitts SP 11.6 $7.5k 1.5
Jarren Duran OF 8.6 $5.7k 1.5
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 1.6 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+422 · $422 per $100
LOSS
TOR 48% 52% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.2% 14.8%
6.5 80.5% 19.5%
7.5 71.7% 28.3%
8.5 63.3% 36.7%
9.5 51.6% 48.4%
10.5 44.9% 55.1%
11.5 36.2% 63.8%
12.5 29.9% 70.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversTOR covers
BOS -1.5 40.6% 33.2%
BOS -2.5 30.9% 25.6%
BOS -3.5 22.0% 18.8%
Team Totals
LineBOSTOR
O 3.5 70.3% 62.0%
O 4.5 58.1% 50.7%
O 5.5 45.6% 40.9%
O 6.5 33.5% 31.7%
Odds
moneyline BOS 52% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookTORImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs TOR 4.5 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs BOS 4.5 BET ✓
BookTORBOS
DraftKings +1.5 -175 -1.5 +145
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -120 U 8.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.8 —
Anthony Santander LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.9 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
George Springer RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.6 —
Alejandro Kirk C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.2 —
Nathan Lukes RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.6 7.0 —
Alan Roden LF 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 6.6 —
Will Wagner 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Berríos Starter 5.4 5.6 5.9 1.9 3.4 39% 100% 17.0 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.9 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.9 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.1 8.6 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Trevor Story SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.4 —
Connor Wong C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Richard Fitts Starter 5.2 3.8 5.6 1.8 2.8 49% 100% 11.6 —