Cincinnati Reds
48% win
2
pred 4.5
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
52% win
8
pred 3.8
2025-04-06 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jake Bauers OF 8.6 $2.4k 3.6
Oliver Dunn OF 7.0 $2.2k 3.2
Santiago Espinal OF 6.8 $2.5k 2.7
Eric Haase OF 6.6 $2.6k 2.5
Garrett Mitchell OF 7.9 $3.2k 2.5
Christian Encarnacion-Strand OF 7.1 $3.0k 2.4
Chad Patrick SP 14.1 $6.4k 2.2
Joey Ortiz OF 7.2 $3.3k 2.2
Gavin Lux OF 7.5 $3.5k 2.1
TJ Friedl OF 7.8 $3.8k 2.1
Sal Frelick OF 7.0 $3.4k 2.0
Austin Wynns OF 5.8 $2.9k 2.0
Jackson Chourio OF 10.2 $5.3k 1.9
Spencer Steer OF 7.1 $3.8k 1.9
Jake Fraley OF 6.4 $3.6k 1.8
Christian Yelich OF 8.8 $5.0k 1.8
Carson Spiers SP 11.9 $6.9k 1.7
Brice Turang OF 8.4 $4.9k 1.7
Jeimer Candelario OF 7.0 $4.7k 1.5
Elly De La Cruz OF 8.3 $6.1k 1.4
Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
CIN 48% 52% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.7% 17.3%
6.5 74.7% 25.3%
7.5 63.6% 36.4%
8.5 57.1% 42.9%
9.5 46.5% 53.5%
10.5 37.1% 62.9%
11.5 27.0% 73.0%
12.5 20.8% 79.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversCIN covers
MIL -1.5 43.0% 30.6%
MIL -2.5 31.7% 19.5%
MIL -3.5 22.3% 13.1%
Team Totals
LineMILCIN
O 3.5 68.2% 57.1%
O 4.5 52.8% 42.8%
O 5.5 40.7% 29.7%
O 6.5 27.6% 20.3%
Odds
moneyline MIL 52% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookCINImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
MIL -1.5: MIL 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs CIN 4.5 no bet
CIN +1.5: CIN 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs MIL 3.8 BET ✗
BookCINMIL
DraftKings +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.2 8.3 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.8 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.1 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Jeimer Candelario 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.0 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.7 6.8 —
Jake Fraley RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.4 —
Austin Wynns C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carson Spiers Starter 5.1 5.4 5.6 2.0 3.2 36% 100% 11.9 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 10.2 —
Christian Yelich LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.8 —
Jake Bauers 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Brice Turang 2B 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Garrett Mitchell CF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.9 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Oliver Dunn 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.0 —
Sal Frelick RF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.0 —
Eric Haase C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chad Patrick Starter 5.2 5.0 4.8 1.7 2.4 51% 100% 14.1 —