Houston Astros
53% win
9
pred 3.8
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
47% win
7
pred 4.3
2025-04-06 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brendan Rodgers OF 7.3 $2.1k 3.5
Jake Meyers OF 6.8 $2.6k 2.6
Isaac Paredes OF 10.0 $4.0k 2.5
Mickey Gasper OF 6.4 $2.7k 2.4
Matt Wallner OF 9.2 $3.9k 2.4
Zach Dezenzo OF 6.2 $2.7k 2.3
Trevor Larnach OF 8.0 $3.5k 2.3
Jeremy Peña OF 7.6 $3.4k 2.2
Harrison Bader OF 6.6 $3.0k 2.2
Christian Walker OF 9.7 $4.4k 2.2
Ronel Blanco SP 18.2 $8.6k 2.1
Yainer Diaz OF 8.0 $3.9k 2.0
Willi Castro OF 6.7 $3.4k 2.0
Edouard Julien OF 6.6 $3.4k 2.0
Yordan Alvarez OF 11.0 $5.8k 1.9
Byron Buxton OF 8.3 $4.6k 1.8
Ryan Jeffers OF 6.9 $4.2k 1.7
Carlos Correa OF 8.2 $5.0k 1.6
Chris Paddack SP 12.9 $8.0k 1.6
Jose Altuve OF 8.6 $5.3k 1.6
Best Bets
Houston Astros
ML ★ · +5.8% edge
+102 · $100 bet · $102 profit
Model: 53% vs Market: 47%
WIN
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 47%
+102 · $102 per $100
WIN
Minnesota Twins +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+480 · $480 per $100
LOSS
HOU 53% 47% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 79.5% 20.5%
6.5 72.2% 27.8%
7.5 62.8% 37.2%
8.5 55.9% 44.1%
9.5 44.6% 55.4%
10.5 38.5% 61.5%
11.5 29.9% 70.1%
12.5 23.0% 77.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversHOU covers
MIN -1.5 29.2% 44.1%
MIN -2.5 21.5% 34.4%
MIN -3.5 14.2% 26.9%
Team Totals
LineMINHOU
O 3.5 55.7% 65.3%
O 4.5 41.2% 52.7%
O 5.5 28.6% 40.5%
O 6.5 19.7% 28.9%
Odds
moneyline HOU 53% · +102 · $102 per $100
BookHOUImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +102 47.4% -122 52.6%
runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs MIN 4.3 no bet
MIN +1.5: MIN 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs HOU 3.8 BET ✗
BookHOUMIN
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 11.0 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.0 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.7 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.6 —
Yainer Diaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.0 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 7.6 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.8 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ronel Blanco Starter 5.4 5.7 4.6 2.4 2.6 51% 100% 18.2 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Wallner RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.3 9.2 —
Byron Buxton CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.3 —
Carlos Correa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 8.0 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.9 —
Willi Castro LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
Edouard Julien 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 6.6 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
Mickey Gasper 2B 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.9 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chris Paddack Starter 5.2 5.3 5.6 1.7 3.0 40% 100% 12.9 —