Baltimore Orioles
55% win
1
pred 4.9
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
45% win
4
pred 4.7
2025-04-06 Kauffman Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Gary Sánchez OF 7.3 $2.1k 3.5
Ramón Laureano OF 7.7 $2.5k 3.1
Freddy Fermin OF 6.4 $2.1k 3.1
Jorge Mateo OF 6.8 $2.3k 3.0
Ramón Urías OF 7.7 $2.7k 2.8
Kris Bubic SP 18.6 $7.5k 2.5
Hunter Renfroe OF 7.5 $3.2k 2.3
Mark Canha OF 7.8 $3.6k 2.2
Jonathan India OF 9.2 $4.4k 2.1
Salvador Perez OF 8.8 $4.3k 2.0
Michael Massey OF 7.7 $3.8k 2.0
Ryan Mountcastle OF 7.6 $3.9k 2.0
Tyler O'Neill OF 8.3 $4.6k 1.8
Jordan Westburg OF 8.2 $4.7k 1.8
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 8.2 $4.7k 1.7
Cade Povich SP 12.7 $7.4k 1.7
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 9.7 $5.8k 1.7
Adley Rutschman OF 7.7 $4.8k 1.6
Gunnar Henderson OF 8.8 $5.6k 1.6
Maikel Garcia OF 6.8 $4.6k 1.5
Best Bets
OVER 8.0
TOTAL ★ · +1.7 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 9.7 vs Line: 8.0
LOSS
Predictions
Baltimore Orioles
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 50%
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 1.3 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.7 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+467 · $467 per $100
LOSS
BAL 55% 45% KC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 88.6% 11.4%
6.5 83.1% 16.9%
7.5 74.8% 25.2%
8.5 66.4% 33.6%
9.5 56.0% 44.0%
10.5 47.7% 52.3%
11.5 38.6% 61.4%
12.5 31.6% 68.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineKC coversBAL covers
KC -1.5 35.9% 39.0%
KC -2.5 25.8% 30.9%
KC -3.5 19.0% 23.6%
Team Totals
LineKCBAL
O 3.5 66.9% 70.4%
O 4.5 55.1% 57.4%
O 5.5 42.7% 44.3%
O 6.5 30.4% 33.1%
Odds
moneyline BAL 55% · -110 · $91 per $100
BookBALImpl%KCImpl%
DraftKings -110 50% -110 50%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
BAL -1.5: BAL 4.9 − 1.5 = 3.4 vs KC 4.7 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs BAL 4.9 BET ✓
BookBALKC
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -102 U 8.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.8 —
Tyler O'Neill RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.3 —
Jordan Westburg 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.2 —
Adley Rutschman C 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 7.7 —
Ramón Urías 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.7 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
Gary Sánchez C 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Jorge Mateo SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cade Povich Starter 5.1 4.6 5.4 2.1 3.0 42% 100% 12.7 —
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 9.7 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.2 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.8 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.2 —
Mark Canha LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.8 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.7 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kris Bubic Starter 5.1 5.2 5.5 2.0 3.1 42% 100% 18.6 —