Arizona Diamondbacks
65% win
4
pred 3.4
FINAL
Washington Nationals
35% win
5
pred 4.6
2025-04-06 Nationals Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jose Herrera OF 6.9 $2.2k 3.1
Alek Thomas OF 7.6 $2.5k 3.0
Pavin Smith OF 9.4 $3.7k 2.5
Geraldo Perdomo OF 9.0 $3.6k 2.5
Josh Bell OF 7.0 $2.8k 2.5
Garrett Hampson OF 6.2 $2.5k 2.5
Paul DeJong OF 5.7 $2.6k 2.2
Nathaniel Lowe OF 6.8 $3.2k 2.1
Corbin Burnes SP 19.7 $9.5k 2.1
Eugenio Suárez OF 9.1 $4.5k 2.0
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. OF 8.7 $4.3k 2.0
Alex Call OF 6.6 $3.5k 1.9
Trevor Williams SP 13.3 $7.2k 1.9
Josh Naylor OF 8.8 $4.8k 1.8
Corbin Carroll OF 10.0 $5.7k 1.8
Luis García OF 5.7 $3.3k 1.7
Keibert Ruiz OF 6.9 $4.2k 1.7
Dylan Crews OF 5.7 $3.6k 1.6
James Wood OF 7.5 $4.8k 1.6
CJ Abrams OF 7.2 $5.1k 1.4
Predictions
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML · Model 65% vs Mkt 62%
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-112 · $89 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Arizona Diamondbacks ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+457 · $457 per $100
LOSS
AZ 65% 35% WSH
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 86.9% 13.1%
6.5 80.2% 19.8%
7.5 70.7% 29.3%
8.5 62.1% 37.9%
9.5 50.4% 49.6%
10.5 43.8% 56.2%
11.5 35.0% 65.0%
12.5 28.1% 71.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineWSH coversAZ covers
WSH -1.5 28.4% 48.5%
WSH -2.5 21.0% 38.6%
WSH -3.5 13.8% 28.7%
Team Totals
LineWSHAZ
O 3.5 60.3% 71.4%
O 4.5 45.8% 60.1%
O 5.5 32.3% 47.3%
O 6.5 21.2% 38.1%
Odds
moneyline AZ 65% · -185 · $54 per $100
BookAZImpl%WSHImpl%
DraftKings -185 62.2% +154 37.8%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -112 · $89 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs WSH 4.6 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs AZ 3.4 BET ✓
BookAZWSH
DraftKings -1.5 -108 +1.5 -112
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.9 10.0 —
Pavin Smith 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 9.4 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.0 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 8.8 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.7 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.6 —
Jose Herrera C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Garrett Hampson CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Burnes Starter 5.4 5.7 5.2 1.9 2.7 56% 100% 19.7 —
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.5 —
CJ Abrams SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Josh Bell 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.0 —
Keibert Ruiz C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.9 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 6.8 —
Alex Call RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.6 —
Paul DeJong SS 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.7 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 5.7 —
Luis García P 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Trevor Williams Starter 5.1 4.5 5.5 1.9 3.1 34% 100% 13.3 —