Miami Marlins
30% win
4
pred 5.8
FINAL
Atlanta Braves
70% win
0
pred 3.7
2025-04-05 Truist Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Matt Mervis UTIL 33.0 $2.8k 11.8
Liam Hicks UTIL 10.0 $2.2k 4.6
Stuart Fairchild UTIL 8.0 $2.2k 3.6
Derek Hill UTIL 10.0 $3.1k 3.2
Graham Pauley UTIL 7.0 $2.2k 3.2
Drake Baldwin UTIL 8.0 $2.6k 3.1
Cal Quantrill UTIL 20.9 $7.2k 2.9
Eric Wagaman UTIL 5.0 $2.3k 2.2
Ronny Henriquez UTIL 8.6 $4.0k 2.1
Michael Harris II UTIL 7.0 $3.7k 1.9
Xavier Edwards UTIL 7.0 $4.4k 1.6
AJ Smith-Shawver UTIL 10.5 $7.8k 1.4
Jarred Kelenic UTIL 3.0 $2.4k 1.3
Otto Lopez UTIL 4.0 $3.3k 1.2
Kyle Stowers UTIL 3.0 $2.7k 1.1
Matt Olson UTIL 5.0 $4.7k 1.1
Enyel De Los Santos UTIL 7.7 $7.3k 1.1
Anthony Bender UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Griffin Conine UTIL 2.0 $2.4k 0.8
Anthony Veneziano UTIL 4.3 $7.0k 0.6
Calvin Faucher UTIL 3.5 $7.5k 0.5
Best Bets
Miami Marlins +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +3.6 off line
+102 · $300 bet · $306 profit
Model: 3.7 - 5.8
WIN
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 70% vs Mkt 69%
-250 · $40 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 3.6 off line
+102 · $102 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.5 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Atlanta Braves ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+440 · $440 per $100
LOSS
MIA 30% 70% ATL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.0% 18.0%
6.5 75.0% 25.0%
7.5 65.1% 34.9%
8.5 56.8% 43.2%
9.5 47.4% 52.6%
10.5 39.3% 60.7%
11.5 32.3% 67.7%
12.5 25.9% 74.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineATL coversMIA covers
ATL -1.5 41.0% 33.4%
ATL -2.5 29.5% 25.0%
ATL -3.5 19.4% 18.2%
Team Totals
LineATLMIA
O 3.5 66.8% 62.2%
O 4.5 51.8% 49.5%
O 5.5 39.7% 36.7%
O 6.5 28.2% 25.0%
Odds
moneyline ATL 70% · -250 · $40 per $100
BookMIAImpl%ATLImpl%
DraftKings +205 31.5% -250 68.5%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · +102 · $102 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs MIA 5.8 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.8 + 1.5 = 7.3 vs ATL 3.7 BET ✓
BookMIAATL
DraftKings +1.5 +102 -1.5 -122
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -112 U 8.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Otto Lopez 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.9 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.3 7.9 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.6 —
Griffin Conine LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Derek Hill CF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.3 —
Liam Hicks C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.1 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cal Quantrill Starter 5.2 4.7 5.4 2.1 3.0 38% 100% 8.1 —
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Olson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 12.5 —
Michael Harris II CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 11.1 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.9 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.5 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.9 —
Jarred Kelenic LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.9 —
Drake Baldwin C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
Bryan De La Cruz OF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.5 —
Nick Allen SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
AJ Smith-Shawver Starter 5.2 5.2 5.1 2.1 2.9 49% 100% 15.2 —