Baltimore Orioles
47% win
8
pred 4.9
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
53% win
1
pred 4.5
2025-04-05 Kauffman Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Gary Sánchez OF 7.3 $2.1k 3.5
Kyle Isbel OF 6.9 $2.2k 3.1
Heston Kjerstad OF 8.5 $3.0k 2.8
Ramón Urías OF 7.2 $2.7k 2.7
Hunter Renfroe OF 8.5 $3.2k 2.7
MJ Melendez OF 8.5 $3.2k 2.6
Cedric Mullins OF 9.2 $4.0k 2.3
Michael Massey OF 9.0 $4.1k 2.2
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 9.9 $4.9k 2.0
Michael Wacha SP 16.3 $8.1k 2.0
Jonathan India OF 9.2 $4.6k 2.0
Salvador Perez OF 8.6 $4.4k 2.0
Ryan Mountcastle OF 7.9 $4.2k 1.9
Jordan Westburg OF 8.6 $4.6k 1.9
Gunnar Henderson OF 10.1 $5.5k 1.8
Jackson Holliday OF 6.8 $3.8k 1.8
Tyler O'Neill OF 7.9 $4.6k 1.7
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 9.5 $5.9k 1.6
Maikel Garcia OF 7.1 $4.5k 1.6
Tomoyuki Sugano SP 8.1 $6.7k 1.2
Predictions
Kansas City Royals
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 52%
-118 · $85 per $100
LOSS
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 1.1 off line
-205 · $49 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.4 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+425 · $425 per $100
LOSS
BAL 47% 53% KC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 86.2% 13.8%
6.5 79.6% 20.4%
7.5 70.4% 29.6%
8.5 63.9% 36.1%
9.5 53.3% 46.7%
10.5 45.1% 54.9%
11.5 35.7% 64.3%
12.5 29.8% 70.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineKC coversBAL covers
KC -1.5 31.7% 41.3%
KC -2.5 22.8% 32.4%
KC -3.5 16.7% 24.2%
Team Totals
LineKCBAL
O 3.5 63.2% 70.2%
O 4.5 49.4% 55.6%
O 5.5 37.1% 43.9%
O 6.5 26.4% 32.5%
Odds
moneyline KC 53% · -118 · $85 per $100
BookBALImpl%KCImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -205 · $49 per $100
BAL -1.5: BAL 4.9 − 1.5 = 3.4 vs KC 4.5 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs BAL 4.9 BET ✗
BookBALKC
DraftKings -1.5 +170 +1.5 -205
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -108 U 8.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 10.1 —
Cedric Mullins CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.2 —
Jordan Westburg 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.5 —
Tyler O'Neill RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Gary Sánchez C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Ramón Urías 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tomoyuki Sugano Starter 5.3 4.7 5.3 1.8 2.9 49% 100% 8.1 —
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.6 9.9 —
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 9.5 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.2 —
Michael Massey 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 9.0 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.6 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
MJ Melendez LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael Wacha Starter 5.2 5.2 5.6 1.8 3.1 41% 100% 16.3 —