Los Angeles Dodgers
48% win
3
pred 4.4
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
52% win
1
pred 4.4
2025-04-05 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Andy Pages OF 7.8 $2.6k 3.0
Austin Barnes OF 6.2 $2.1k 3.0
Michael Conforto OF 9.3 $3.9k 2.4
Enrique Hernández OF 6.8 $3.2k 2.1
Brandon Marsh OF 7.1 $3.4k 2.1
Max Kepler OF 8.3 $4.1k 2.0
Max Muncy OF 8.2 $4.1k 2.0
Aaron Nola SP 18.0 $9.3k 1.9
Shohei Ohtani OF 11.9 $6.3k 1.9
Teoscar Hernández OF 8.6 $4.8k 1.8
J.T. Realmuto OF 7.3 $4.1k 1.8
Kyle Schwarber OF 10.8 $6.0k 1.8
Nick Castellanos OF 8.4 $4.7k 1.8
Tommy Edman OF 7.9 $4.6k 1.7
Bryce Harper OF 9.5 $5.6k 1.7
Alec Bohm OF 7.8 $4.7k 1.7
Bryson Stott OF 6.8 $4.2k 1.6
Mookie Betts OF 9.4 $5.8k 1.6
Trea Turner OF 8.6 $5.7k 1.5
Roki Sasaki SP 11.7 $9.0k 1.3
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 50%
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
RL · 1.5 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+473 · $473 per $100
LOSS
LAD 48% 52% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.5% 15.5%
6.5 78.7% 21.3%
7.5 68.5% 31.5%
8.5 61.6% 38.4%
9.5 50.7% 49.3%
10.5 43.4% 56.6%
11.5 34.7% 65.3%
12.5 29.0% 71.0%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversLAD covers
PHI -1.5 40.6% 34.1%
PHI -2.5 30.1% 26.1%
PHI -3.5 21.2% 19.9%
Team Totals
LinePHILAD
O 3.5 67.6% 61.5%
O 4.5 54.6% 50.2%
O 5.5 43.6% 37.5%
O 6.5 31.0% 28.3%
Odds
moneyline PHI 52% · -110 · $91 per $100
BookLADImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings -110 50% -110 50%
runline Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
LAD -1.5: LAD 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs PHI 4.4 no bet
PHI +1.5: PHI 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs LAD 4.4 BET ✗
BookLADPHI
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -115 U 8.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Los Angeles Dodgers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shohei Ohtani TWP 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.1 11.9 —
Mookie Betts SS 1.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.4 —
Michael Conforto LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.3 —
Teoscar Hernández RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.6 —
Max Muncy 3B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 8.2 —
Tommy Edman SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.7 7.9 —
Andy Pages CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.8 —
Enrique Hernández 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Austin Barnes C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Roki Sasaki Starter 5.1 5.1 5.3 2.2 3.1 40% 100% 11.7 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 1.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.6 1.2 10.8 —
Bryce Harper 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.5 —
Trea Turner SS 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.4 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.3 —
Alec Bohm 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Brandon Marsh CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.1 —
Bryson Stott 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Nola Starter 5.3 5.6 5.1 1.8 2.9 50% 100% 18.0 —