San Diego Padres
46% win
1
pred 4.1
FINAL
Chicago Cubs
54% win
7
pred 4.6
2025-04-05 Wrigley Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Yuli Gurriel OF 7.1 $2.0k 3.6
Elias Díaz OF 6.9 $2.2k 3.1
Brandon Lockridge OF 6.8 $2.4k 2.8
Carson Kelly OF 6.3 $2.7k 2.3
Nick Pivetta SP 19.0 $8.6k 2.2
Matthew Boyd SP 16.2 $7.8k 2.1
Luis Arraez OF 7.5 $3.7k 2.0
Michael Busch OF 7.7 $3.9k 2.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 10.1 $5.3k 1.9
Manny Machado OF 9.2 $4.9k 1.9
Xander Bogaerts OF 7.4 $4.1k 1.8
Jake Cronenworth OF 6.7 $3.8k 1.8
Pete Crow-Armstrong OF 6.4 $3.6k 1.8
Jackson Merrill OF 8.7 $5.0k 1.7
Ian Happ OF 7.7 $4.6k 1.7
Dansby Swanson OF 7.2 $4.6k 1.6
Seiya Suzuki OF 7.7 $5.0k 1.5
Matt Shaw OF 5.6 $3.7k 1.5
Nico Hoerner OF 5.8 $4.3k 1.4
Kyle Tucker OF 8.1 $6.1k 1.3
Best Bets
OVER 7.0
TOTAL ★ · +1.7 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 8.7 vs Line: 7.0
WIN
Predictions
Chicago Cubs
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 52%
-120 · $83 per $100
WIN
Chicago Cubs +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-205 · $49 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Chicago Cubs ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+421 · $421 per $100
WIN
SD 46% 54% CHC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.4% 14.6%
6.5 79.2% 20.8%
7.5 69.4% 30.6%
8.5 62.6% 37.4%
9.5 52.8% 47.2%
10.5 46.3% 53.7%
11.5 36.9% 63.1%
12.5 30.7% 69.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineCHC coversSD covers
CHC -1.5 34.3% 39.8%
CHC -2.5 25.2% 30.3%
CHC -3.5 16.8% 21.7%
Team Totals
LineCHCSD
O 3.5 63.8% 67.3%
O 4.5 51.2% 56.6%
O 5.5 38.9% 45.3%
O 6.5 29.5% 33.4%
Odds
moneyline CHC 54% · -120 · $83 per $100
BookSDImpl%CHCImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -205 · $49 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs CHC 4.6 no bet
CHC +1.5: CHC 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs SD 4.1 BET ✓
BookSDCHC
DraftKings -1.5 +170 +1.5 -205
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -105 U 7.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 10.1 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.2 —
Jackson Merrill CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.7 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.5 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Yuli Gurriel 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Elias Díaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Brandon Lockridge LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.8 —
Jake Cronenworth 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Pivetta Starter 5.2 5.4 5.1 2.3 3.0 45% 100% 19.0 —
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.5 1.0 8.1 —
Michael Busch 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.7 —
Ian Happ LF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.1 7.7 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Carson Kelly C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 5.8 —
Matt Shaw 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matthew Boyd Starter 5.3 4.9 5.3 2.0 2.9 43% 100% 16.2 —