Houston Astros
54% win
1
pred 4.7
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
46% win
6
pred 3.9
2025-04-05 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brendan Rodgers OF 5.9 $2.2k 2.7
Bailey Ober SP 21.9 $8.2k 2.7
Christian Vázquez OF 6.1 $2.3k 2.7
Ty France OF 7.3 $3.0k 2.4
Matt Wallner OF 9.6 $4.0k 2.4
Trevor Larnach OF 8.4 $3.6k 2.3
Spencer Arrighetti SP 17.4 $8.0k 2.2
Jake Meyers OF 5.4 $2.6k 2.1
Cam Smith OF 5.2 $2.5k 2.1
Willi Castro OF 7.1 $3.5k 2.0
Byron Buxton OF 8.7 $4.7k 1.9
Edouard Julien OF 6.2 $3.4k 1.8
Carlos Correa OF 8.6 $4.8k 1.8
Isaac Paredes OF 7.1 $4.0k 1.8
Yainer Diaz OF 6.8 $3.9k 1.7
Jose Miranda OF 6.3 $3.7k 1.7
Jeremy Peña OF 5.9 $3.5k 1.7
Christian Walker OF 7.4 $4.4k 1.7
Yordan Alvarez OF 7.8 $5.7k 1.4
Jose Altuve OF 7.0 $5.2k 1.3
Best Bets
Houston Astros
ML ★★ · +8.4% edge
+110 · $200 bet · $220 profit
Model: 54% vs Market: 46%
LOSS
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 46%
+110 · $110 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+503 · $503 per $100
LOSS
HOU 54% 46% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.5% 16.5%
6.5 76.3% 23.7%
7.5 67.0% 33.0%
8.5 59.6% 40.4%
9.5 49.4% 50.6%
10.5 40.1% 59.9%
11.5 31.6% 68.4%
12.5 26.6% 73.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversHOU covers
MIN -1.5 34.1% 38.0%
MIN -2.5 24.3% 29.0%
MIN -3.5 16.0% 21.3%
Team Totals
LineMINHOU
O 3.5 64.5% 63.1%
O 4.5 50.4% 51.0%
O 5.5 36.4% 38.5%
O 6.5 24.9% 29.2%
Odds
moneyline HOU 54% · +110 · $110 per $100
BookHOUImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs HOU 4.7 no bet
HOU +1.5: HOU 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs MIN 3.9 BET ✗
BookHOUMIN
DraftKings +1.5 -198 -1.5 +164
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -118 U 7.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.0 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.8 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 5.9 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.9 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.4 —
Cam Smith RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Arrighetti Starter 5.3 5.8 5.0 2.2 2.9 44% 100% 17.4 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Wallner RF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.4 9.6 —
Byron Buxton CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.7 —
Carlos Correa SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Ty France 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Willi Castro LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Jose Miranda 3B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
Edouard Julien 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 6.2 —
Christian Vázquez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bailey Ober Starter 5.3 5.4 5.2 1.7 2.9 45% 100% 21.9 —