Toronto Blue Jays
42% win
0
pred 5.3
FINAL
New York Mets
58% win
5
pred 3.9
2025-04-04 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Luis Torrens OF 7.5 $2.5k 3.0
Alan Roden OF 6.6 $2.2k 3.0
Ernie Clement OF 6.8 $2.8k 2.4
Tylor Megill SP 16.7 $7.0k 2.4
Alejandro Kirk OF 7.6 $3.2k 2.4
Jose Siri OF 7.1 $3.1k 2.3
Luisangel Acuña OF 7.5 $3.4k 2.2
Starling Marte OF 7.8 $3.7k 2.1
Will Wagner OF 6.8 $3.2k 2.1
Juan Soto OF 12.4 $6.0k 2.1
Brandon Nimmo OF 9.5 $4.6k 2.1
Pete Alonso OF 10.7 $5.4k 2.0
Francisco Lindor OF 10.2 $5.3k 1.9
Mark Vientos OF 8.8 $4.6k 1.9
George Springer OF 7.0 $4.2k 1.7
Anthony Santander OF 7.8 $4.9k 1.6
Andrés Giménez OF 6.8 $4.3k 1.6
Bo Bichette OF 7.6 $4.8k 1.6
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OF 8.9 $5.9k 1.5
Kevin Gausman SP 12.4 $8.6k 1.4
Best Bets
OVER 7.5
TOTAL ★ · +1.6 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 9.1 vs Line: 7.5
LOSS
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 2.9 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+414 · $414 per $100
LOSS
TOR 42% 58% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.9% 16.1%
6.5 78.1% 21.9%
7.5 69.9% 30.1%
8.5 62.9% 37.1%
9.5 50.7% 49.3%
10.5 43.3% 56.7%
11.5 34.7% 65.3%
12.5 27.5% 72.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversTOR covers
NYM -1.5 32.4% 41.4%
NYM -2.5 22.8% 31.5%
NYM -3.5 15.8% 25.0%
Team Totals
LineNYMTOR
O 3.5 63.5% 70.0%
O 4.5 50.2% 56.5%
O 5.5 36.9% 43.4%
O 6.5 25.1% 32.3%
Odds
moneyline NYM 58% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookTORImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs TOR 5.3 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 5.3 + 1.5 = 6.8 vs NYM 3.9 BET ✗
BookTORNYM
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -105 U 7.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Anthony Santander LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
Alejandro Kirk C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.6 —
George Springer RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.0 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Ernie Clement 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
Will Wagner 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Alan Roden LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kevin Gausman Starter 5.3 5.6 5.1 2.1 2.9 49% 100% 12.4 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.8 0.9 12.4 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.7 —
Francisco Lindor SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.1 10.2 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.5 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.8 —
Starling Marte LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.8 —
Luis Torrens C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 7.5 —
Jose Siri CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.2 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tylor Megill Starter 5.1 4.7 5.6 2.1 3.1 40% 100% 16.7 —