San Diego Padres
29% win
1
pred 4.2
FINAL
Chicago Cubs
71% win
3
pred 3.6
2025-04-04 Wrigley Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Yuli Gurriel OF 6.4 $2.0k 3.2
Brandon Lockridge OF 6.5 $2.5k 2.6
Martín Maldonado OF 6.4 $2.7k 2.4
Miguel Amaya OF 6.4 $2.8k 2.3
Michael Busch OF 9.5 $4.2k 2.3
Shota Imanaga SP 18.3 $9.0k 2.0
Pete Crow-Armstrong OF 7.9 $3.9k 2.0
Manny Machado OF 9.5 $4.8k 2.0
Luis Arraez OF 6.8 $3.6k 1.9
Ian Happ OF 9.1 $4.8k 1.9
Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 10.1 $5.4k 1.9
Xander Bogaerts OF 7.5 $4.1k 1.8
Dansby Swanson OF 8.2 $4.7k 1.8
Seiya Suzuki OF 9.3 $5.3k 1.8
Jake Cronenworth OF 6.6 $3.8k 1.7
Nico Hoerner OF 7.4 $4.4k 1.7
Jackson Merrill OF 8.6 $5.2k 1.7
Kyle Tucker OF 10.2 $6.2k 1.6
Matt Shaw OF 6.4 $4.1k 1.6
Randy Vásquez SP 10.6 $6.8k 1.6
Best Bets
Chicago Cubs
ML ★★ · +9.7% edge
-175 · $200 bet · $114 profit
Model: 71% vs Market: 61%
WIN
Predictions
Chicago Cubs
ML · Model 71% vs Mkt 61%
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
San Diego Padres +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.7 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Chicago Cubs ML + San Diego Padres +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+385 · $385 per $100
LOSS
SD 29% 71% CHC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.6% 14.4%
6.5 79.6% 20.4%
7.5 72.1% 27.9%
8.5 63.7% 36.3%
9.5 55.3% 44.7%
10.5 47.3% 52.7%
11.5 39.5% 60.5%
12.5 32.0% 68.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineCHC coversSD covers
CHC -1.5 36.9% 37.2%
CHC -2.5 25.8% 28.5%
CHC -3.5 18.6% 21.8%
Team Totals
LineCHCSD
O 3.5 68.5% 65.7%
O 4.5 53.4% 54.2%
O 5.5 41.4% 43.4%
O 6.5 30.8% 32.1%
Odds
moneyline CHC 71% · -175 · $57 per $100
BookSDImpl%CHCImpl%
DraftKings +145 39.1% -175 60.9%
runline San Diego Padres +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
CHC -1.5: CHC 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs SD 4.2 no bet
SD +1.5: SD 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs CHC 3.6 BET ✗
BookSDCHC
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 +105 U 7.0 -125
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 10.1 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.5 —
Jackson Merrill CF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 8.6 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.8 —
Jake Cronenworth 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.6 —
Brandon Lockridge LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.5 —
Yuli Gurriel 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.4 —
Martín Maldonado C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Randy Vásquez Starter 5.1 4.5 5.5 2.2 3.1 41% 100% 10.6 —
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.7 10.2 —
Michael Busch 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.5 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Ian Happ LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.1 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.9 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.6 7.4 —
Matt Shaw 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.4 —
Miguel Amaya C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shota Imanaga Starter 5.3 4.8 5.4 1.6 2.9 48% 100% 18.3 —