St. Louis Cardinals
45% win
9
pred 4.5
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
55% win
13
pred 4.1
2025-04-04 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Alec Burleson OF 8.8 $3.0k 2.9
Carlos Narváez OF 7.3 $2.5k 2.9
Jordan Walker OF 7.7 $2.7k 2.9
Triston Casas OF 8.8 $3.5k 2.5
Lars Nootbaar OF 10.3 $4.4k 2.3
Victor Scott II OF 6.8 $2.9k 2.3
Brendan Donovan OF 9.0 $3.9k 2.3
Willson Contreras OF 9.3 $4.1k 2.3
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.7 $3.0k 2.3
Wilyer Abreu OF 9.2 $4.1k 2.2
Kristian Campbell OF 7.9 $3.6k 2.2
Alex Bregman OF 10.7 $5.0k 2.1
Rafael Devers OF 10.4 $4.9k 2.1
Iván Herrera OF 7.9 $4.1k 1.9
Trevor Story OF 7.7 $4.0k 1.9
Nolan Arenado OF 8.2 $4.3k 1.9
Masyn Winn OF 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Jarren Duran OF 9.8 $5.5k 1.8
Erick Fedde SP 13.5 $8.0k 1.7
Walker Buehler SP 12.2 $7.7k 1.6
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + UNDER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+423 · $423 per $100
LOSS
STL 45% 55% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.7% 12.3%
6.5 81.9% 18.1%
7.5 72.6% 27.4%
8.5 65.2% 34.8%
9.5 55.6% 44.4%
10.5 48.2% 51.8%
11.5 38.9% 61.1%
12.5 32.4% 67.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversSTL covers
BOS -1.5 40.8% 32.1%
BOS -2.5 29.8% 24.5%
BOS -3.5 22.4% 19.3%
Team Totals
LineBOSSTL
O 3.5 73.1% 64.0%
O 4.5 58.9% 51.9%
O 5.5 46.2% 40.6%
O 6.5 35.1% 31.4%
Odds
moneyline BOS 55% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookSTLImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs STL 4.5 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs BOS 4.1 BET ✗
BookSTLBOS
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -112 U 9.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 10.3 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 9.3 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.0 —
Alec Burleson 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.8 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.2 —
Iván Herrera C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Jordan Walker RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Masyn Winn SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Erick Fedde Starter 5.0 4.9 5.5 2.3 3.3 36% 100% 13.5 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 10.7 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 10.4 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 9.8 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.2 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.8 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.9 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 7.3 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Walker Buehler Starter 5.2 5.0 5.4 1.9 2.9 49% 100% 12.2 —