Houston Astros
52% win
5
pred 4.2
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
48% win
2
pred 3.7
2025-04-03 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brendan Rodgers OF 6.1 $2.0k 3.0
Victor Caratini OF 6.3 $2.1k 3.0
Ty France OF 6.9 $2.9k 2.4
Matt Wallner OF 8.8 $3.9k 2.3
Trevor Larnach OF 8.0 $3.6k 2.2
Joe Ryan SP 19.7 $9.0k 2.2
Mauricio Dubón OF 4.6 $2.2k 2.1
Willi Castro OF 6.7 $3.3k 2.0
Cam Smith OF 5.0 $2.5k 2.0
Harrison Bader OF 6.0 $3.0k 2.0
Hunter Brown SP 17.8 $9.5k 1.9
Edouard Julien OF 6.6 $3.6k 1.8
Byron Buxton OF 8.2 $4.6k 1.8
Jeremy Peña OF 6.2 $3.5k 1.8
Christian Walker OF 7.4 $4.5k 1.7
Isaac Paredes OF 6.7 $4.1k 1.6
Yordan Alvarez OF 8.9 $5.8k 1.5
Carlos Correa OF 7.5 $5.1k 1.5
Ryan Jeffers OF 6.1 $4.3k 1.4
Jose Altuve OF 6.8 $5.3k 1.3
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 47%
+105 · $105 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-205 · $49 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+482 · $482 per $100
LOSS
HOU 52% 48% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.1% 18.9%
6.5 72.9% 27.1%
7.5 65.2% 34.8%
8.5 56.5% 43.5%
9.5 45.9% 54.1%
10.5 39.1% 60.9%
11.5 29.6% 70.4%
12.5 24.3% 75.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversHOU covers
MIN -1.5 33.5% 39.4%
MIN -2.5 24.6% 28.9%
MIN -3.5 16.6% 20.8%
Team Totals
LineMINHOU
O 3.5 59.3% 63.1%
O 4.5 46.1% 51.2%
O 5.5 33.2% 39.2%
O 6.5 24.4% 27.6%
Odds
moneyline HOU 52% · +105 · $105 per $100
BookHOUImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -205 · $49 per $100
MIN -1.5: MIN 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs HOU 4.2 no bet
HOU +1.5: HOU 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs MIN 3.7 BET ✓
BookHOUMIN
DraftKings +1.5 -205 -1.5 +170
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -120 U 7.0 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.9 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.4 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 6.8 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.7 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.1 —
Cam Smith RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 5.0 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 4.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Brown Starter 5.3 5.9 5.2 2.0 2.8 46% 100% 17.8 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Wallner RF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.3 8.8 —
Byron Buxton CF 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.2 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.2 8.0 —
Carlos Correa SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Ty France 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Willi Castro LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
Edouard Julien 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.6 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.1 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Joe Ryan Starter 5.4 5.6 5.2 1.7 2.9 44% 100% 19.7 —