Boston Red Sox
39% win
8
pred 4.9
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
61% win
4
pred 4.9
2025-04-03 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ramón Urías OF 8.2 $2.7k 3.0
Carlos Narváez OF 7.4 $2.5k 3.0
Dylan Carlson OF 6.5 $2.3k 2.8
Heston Kjerstad OF 8.7 $3.1k 2.8
Cedric Mullins OF 9.8 $4.0k 2.5
Triston Casas OF 9.3 $3.8k 2.4
Ryan O'Hearn OF 9.0 $3.7k 2.4
Wilyer Abreu OF 9.7 $4.3k 2.3
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 7.0 $3.2k 2.2
Kristian Campbell OF 7.5 $3.5k 2.1
Rafael Devers OF 10.4 $5.0k 2.1
Charlie Morton SP 15.0 $7.2k 2.1
Jordan Westburg OF 9.5 $4.6k 2.1
Jackson Holliday OF 7.7 $3.9k 2.0
Trevor Story OF 7.8 $4.0k 2.0
Tyler O'Neill OF 8.9 $4.7k 1.9
Alex Bregman OF 9.6 $5.2k 1.9
Adley Rutschman OF 8.9 $4.9k 1.8
Jarren Duran OF 10.0 $5.7k 1.8
Tanner Houck SP 12.9 $7.5k 1.7
Best Bets
Baltimore Orioles
ML ★★ · +8.4% edge
-122 · $200 bet · $164 profit
Model: 61% vs Market: 53%
LOSS
Predictions
Baltimore Orioles
ML · Model 61% vs Mkt 53%
-122 · $82 per $100
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 1.5 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.9 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+435 · $435 per $100
LOSS
BOS 39% 61% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.1% 14.9%
6.5 79.0% 21.0%
7.5 70.2% 29.8%
8.5 63.3% 36.7%
9.5 52.5% 47.5%
10.5 45.0% 55.0%
11.5 37.2% 62.8%
12.5 30.4% 69.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversBOS covers
BAL -1.5 37.1% 39.2%
BAL -2.5 25.9% 30.9%
BAL -3.5 18.6% 23.0%
Team Totals
LineBALBOS
O 3.5 64.1% 66.5%
O 4.5 52.2% 54.7%
O 5.5 38.5% 43.1%
O 6.5 28.8% 32.3%
Odds
moneyline BAL 61% · -122 · $82 per $100
BookBOSImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings +102 47.4% -122 52.6%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.9 − 1.5 = 3.4 vs BAL 4.9 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs BOS 4.9 BET ✗
BookBOSBAL
DraftKings -1.5 +154 +1.5 -185
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -102 U 9.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.3 10.4 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.2 10.0 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.7 —
Alex Bregman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.6 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 9.3 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.8 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 7.5 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 7.4 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 1.0 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tanner Houck Starter 5.2 5.2 5.4 1.9 2.9 44% 100% 12.9 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cedric Mullins CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 9.8 —
Jordan Westburg 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.5 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Tyler O'Neill RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.9 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.9 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Ramón Urías 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Dylan Carlson LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Charlie Morton Starter 5.2 5.8 5.2 2.3 2.9 45% 100% 15.0 —