New York Mets
63% win
6
pred 3.4
FINAL
Miami Marlins
37% win
5
pred 5.4
2025-04-02 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Hayden Senger OF 7.4 $2.0k 3.7
Jesse Winker OF 9.1 $2.8k 3.2
Tyrone Taylor OF 7.8 $2.7k 2.9
Brett Baty OF 8.3 $2.9k 2.9
Griffin Conine OF 7.1 $2.6k 2.7
Graham Pauley OF 6.2 $2.3k 2.7
Kyle Stowers OF 7.8 $2.9k 2.7
Liam Hicks OF 6.1 $2.3k 2.6
Eric Wagaman OF 6.6 $2.5k 2.6
Javier Sanoja OF 5.7 $2.2k 2.6
Brandon Nimmo OF 10.6 $4.5k 2.4
Matt Mervis OF 6.8 $3.0k 2.3
Otto Lopez OF 7.2 $3.4k 2.1
Francisco Lindor OF 11.7 $5.5k 2.1
Juan Soto OF 12.8 $6.3k 2.0
Pete Alonso OF 10.7 $5.3k 2.0
Clay Holmes SP 13.8 $7.0k 2.0
Mark Vientos OF 9.2 $4.8k 1.9
Xavier Edwards OF 7.8 $4.5k 1.7
Connor Gillispie SP 9.0 $6.0k 1.5
Best Bets
Miami Marlins +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +3.5 off line
+105 · $300 bet · $315 profit
Model: 5.4 - 3.4
WIN
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 66%
-218 · $46 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 3.5 off line
+105 · $105 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
New York Mets ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+471 · $471 per $100
WIN
NYM 63% 37% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.3% 19.7%
6.5 72.4% 27.6%
7.5 62.9% 37.1%
8.5 54.7% 45.3%
9.5 44.2% 55.8%
10.5 36.0% 64.0%
11.5 28.8% 71.2%
12.5 22.4% 77.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversNYM covers
MIA -1.5 29.3% 44.3%
MIA -2.5 20.0% 33.5%
MIA -3.5 14.1% 26.3%
Team Totals
LineMIANYM
O 3.5 55.6% 64.7%
O 4.5 41.1% 52.4%
O 5.5 29.9% 41.1%
O 6.5 19.9% 31.5%
Odds
moneyline NYM 63% · -218 · $46 per $100
BookNYMImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -218 65.8% +180 34.2%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · +105 · $105 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs MIA 5.4 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.4 + 1.5 = 6.9 vs NYM 3.4 BET ✓
BookNYMMIA
DraftKings -1.5 -125 +1.5 +105
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -115 U 8.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 0.8 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.9 12.8 —
Francisco Lindor SS 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.9 11.7 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.8 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.7 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.6 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.2 —
Jesse Winker LF 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.1 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Hayden Senger C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.8 7.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Clay Holmes Starter 5.4 5.7 5.2 2.0 2.5 51% 100% 13.8 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 7.8 —
Otto Lopez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Griffin Conine LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.1 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.8 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.6 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.2 —
Liam Hicks C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.1 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Connor Gillispie Starter 5.3 5.0 4.5 2.9 2.8 38% 100% 9.0 —