San Francisco Giants
34% win
6
pred 4.4
FINAL
Houston Astros
66% win
3
pred 4.1
2025-04-02 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Sam Huff OF 6.9 $2.0k 3.4
Brendan Rodgers OF 7.0 $2.1k 3.3
Casey Schmitt OF 7.5 $2.4k 3.1
Luis Matos OF 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Zach Dezenzo OF 6.9 $2.7k 2.6
Heliot Ramos OF 9.2 $3.6k 2.6
Wilmer Flores OF 7.6 $3.1k 2.4
Chas McCormick OF 6.7 $2.8k 2.4
Framber Valdez SP 19.1 $8.3k 2.3
Tyler Fitzgerald OF 6.9 $3.3k 2.1
Matt Chapman OF 9.2 $4.5k 2.1
Mike Yastrzemski OF 6.9 $3.4k 2.0
Jeremy Peña OF 7.3 $3.7k 2.0
Isaac Paredes OF 8.0 $4.1k 1.9
Yainer Diaz OF 8.0 $4.1k 1.9
Christian Walker OF 8.7 $4.5k 1.9
Jose Altuve OF 9.4 $5.0k 1.9
Willy Adames OF 8.1 $4.3k 1.9
Yordan Alvarez OF 10.0 $5.7k 1.8
Landen Roupp SP 11.0 $6.8k 1.6
Best Bets
Houston Astros
ML ★ · +5.9% edge
-170 · $100 bet · $59 profit
Model: 66% vs Market: 60%
LOSS
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 66% vs Mkt 60%
-170 · $59 per $100
LOSS
San Francisco Giants +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + San Francisco Giants +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
SF 34% 66% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.4% 16.6%
6.5 75.9% 24.1%
7.5 66.7% 33.3%
8.5 58.4% 41.6%
9.5 46.9% 53.1%
10.5 39.8% 60.2%
11.5 30.7% 69.3%
12.5 25.0% 75.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversSF covers
HOU -1.5 38.6% 35.6%
HOU -2.5 27.7% 25.3%
HOU -3.5 18.2% 19.3%
Team Totals
LineHOUSF
O 3.5 64.0% 61.7%
O 4.5 51.0% 49.1%
O 5.5 38.1% 37.4%
O 6.5 28.3% 28.0%
Odds
moneyline HOU 66% · -170 · $59 per $100
BookSFImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +142 39.6% -170 60.4%
runline San Francisco Giants +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs SF 4.4 no bet
SF +1.5: SF 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs HOU 4.1 BET ✓
BookSFHOU
DraftKings +1.5 -148 -1.5 +124
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -102 U 8.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Francisco Giants
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Chapman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.2 —
Heliot Ramos LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.2 9.2 —
Willy Adames SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.1 —
Wilmer Flores 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Casey Schmitt 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Luis Matos RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
Tyler Fitzgerald SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Mike Yastrzemski RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.9 —
Sam Huff C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Landen Roupp Starter 5.2 5.2 5.1 2.2 2.8 42% 100% 11.0 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.0 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.4 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 8.0 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Chas McCormick CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Framber Valdez Starter 5.4 5.6 5.1 1.9 2.7 47% 100% 19.1 —