Cleveland Guardians
34% win
2
pred 4.8
FINAL
San Diego Padres
66% win
5
pred 3.9
2025-04-02 Petco Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Gavin Sheets OF 6.6 $2.2k 3.0
Martín Maldonado OF 7.4 $2.5k 3.0
Bo Naylor OF 6.3 $2.4k 2.6
Gabriel Arias OF 5.8 $2.2k 2.6
Jose Iglesias OF 6.7 $2.6k 2.6
Daniel Schneemann OF 6.1 $2.5k 2.4
Jake Cronenworth OF 8.3 $3.7k 2.2
Dylan Cease SP 20.1 $9.3k 2.2
Carlos Santana OF 7.6 $3.5k 2.2
Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 11.1 $5.3k 2.1
Nolan Jones OF 6.7 $3.3k 2.0
Luis Arraez OF 7.5 $3.7k 2.0
Manny Machado OF 9.8 $4.9k 2.0
Kyle Manzardo OF 7.9 $4.1k 1.9
Jackson Merrill OF 9.5 $5.1k 1.9
Xander Bogaerts OF 7.7 $4.2k 1.8
Lane Thomas OF 6.4 $3.9k 1.7
Steven Kwan OF 7.3 $4.4k 1.7
Ben Lively SP 10.4 $6.5k 1.6
José Ramírez OF 8.1 $5.9k 1.4
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 66% vs Mkt 62%
-185 · $54 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+401 · $401 per $100
LOSS
CLE 34% 66% SD
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.0% 13.0%
6.5 82.8% 17.2%
7.5 72.6% 27.4%
8.5 65.7% 34.3%
9.5 55.5% 44.5%
10.5 46.8% 53.2%
11.5 38.1% 61.9%
12.5 32.7% 67.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineSD coversCLE covers
SD -1.5 38.9% 36.0%
SD -2.5 27.7% 27.6%
SD -3.5 19.5% 20.7%
Team Totals
LineSDCLE
O 3.5 69.2% 65.6%
O 4.5 56.3% 54.2%
O 5.5 43.6% 43.7%
O 6.5 32.1% 33.7%
Odds
moneyline SD 66% · -185 · $54 per $100
BookCLEImpl%SDImpl%
DraftKings +154 37.8% -185 62.2%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs CLE 4.8 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs SD 3.9 BET ✗
BookCLESD
DraftKings +1.5 -142 -1.5 +120
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.1 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.9 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 7.6 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.3 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 6.7 —
Lane Thomas CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.4 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.3 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.1 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ben Lively Starter 5.2 4.3 5.6 1.8 3.1 42% 100% 10.4 —
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 11.1 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.8 —
Jackson Merrill CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.5 —
Jake Cronenworth 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.7 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.5 —
Martín Maldonado C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Jose Iglesias SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.7 6.7 —
Gavin Sheets LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Dylan Cease Starter 5.2 5.4 5.0 2.3 3.0 45% 100% 20.1 —