Kansas City Royals
48% win
2
pred 3.2
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
52% win
3
pred 4.8
2025-04-02 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Freddy Fermin OF 7.1 $2.1k 3.4
Isaac Collins OF 7.6 $2.3k 3.3
Kyle Isbel OF 7.4 $2.3k 3.2
Cavan Biggio OF 7.2 $2.4k 3.0
Cole Ragans SP 22.1 $8.1k 2.7
Hunter Renfroe OF 8.7 $3.3k 2.6
Salvador Perez OF 10.1 $4.4k 2.3
Michael Massey OF 9.6 $4.2k 2.3
Jonathan India OF 10.0 $4.6k 2.2
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 10.8 $5.0k 2.2
Vinny Capra OF 5.9 $2.8k 2.1
Sal Frelick OF 6.4 $3.2k 2.0
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 11.3 $6.0k 1.9
Rhys Hoskins OF 7.4 $4.0k 1.9
William Contreras OF 7.6 $4.5k 1.7
Garrett Mitchell OF 5.5 $3.4k 1.6
Freddy Peralta SP 14.2 $8.8k 1.6
Jackson Chourio OF 8.2 $5.3k 1.6
Joey Ortiz OF 5.6 $3.9k 1.4
Brice Turang OF 6.7 $4.7k 1.4
Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 52%
-120 · $83 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 3.1 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+427 · $427 per $100
LOSS
KC 48% 52% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 76.6% 23.4%
6.5 70.1% 29.9%
7.5 61.6% 38.4%
8.5 54.8% 45.2%
9.5 43.2% 56.8%
10.5 35.3% 64.7%
11.5 26.2% 73.8%
12.5 20.1% 79.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversKC covers
MIL -1.5 35.6% 35.9%
MIL -2.5 25.7% 26.8%
MIL -3.5 16.7% 19.2%
Team Totals
LineMILKC
O 3.5 59.5% 58.9%
O 4.5 44.9% 45.1%
O 5.5 33.4% 34.1%
O 6.5 23.9% 25.0%
Odds
moneyline MIL 52% · -120 · $83 per $100
BookKCImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
KC -1.5: KC 3.2 − 1.5 = 1.7 vs MIL 4.8 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs KC 3.2 BET ✓
BookKCMIL
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -112 U 7.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 11.3 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.8 —
Salvador Perez C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 10.1 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 10.0 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.6 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.7 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Cavan Biggio 3B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.2 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cole Ragans Starter 5.4 6.0 5.0 2.2 2.5 43% 100% 22.1 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.3 8.2 —
William Contreras C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 7.6 —
Isaac Collins LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.5 7.6 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.4 —
Brice Turang 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
Sal Frelick RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.4 —
Vinny Capra 3B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.6 —
Garrett Mitchell CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Freddy Peralta Starter 5.4 5.7 5.0 1.9 2.6 48% 100% 14.2 —