Cleveland Guardians
37% win
0
pred 4.7
FINAL
San Diego Padres
63% win
7
pred 3.6
2025-04-01 Petco Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Michael King UTIL 34.9 $8.7k 4.0
Brandon Lockridge UTIL 9.0 $2.3k 3.9
Jackson Merrill UTIL 18.0 $5.0k 3.6
Manny Machado UTIL 15.0 $4.7k 3.2
Jake Cronenworth UTIL 10.0 $3.5k 2.9
Fernando Tatis Jr. UTIL 15.0 $5.3k 2.8
Jose Iglesias UTIL 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Xander Bogaerts UTIL 10.0 $4.1k 2.4
Jason Adam UTIL 6.4 $4.0k 1.6
Luis Arraez UTIL 5.0 $3.6k 1.4
Gabriel Arias UTIL 3.0 $2.3k 1.3
Jason Heyward UTIL 3.0 $2.6k 1.2
Steven Kwan UTIL 5.0 $4.4k 1.1
Yuki Matsui UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Omar Cruz UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Bo Naylor UTIL 2.0 $2.6k 0.8
Paul Sewald UTIL 2.9 $4.0k 0.7
Brayan Rocchio UTIL 2.0 $2.8k 0.7
Jhonkensy Noel UTIL 2.0 $3.2k 0.6
Jeremiah Estrada UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
José Ramírez UTIL 2.0 $5.9k 0.3
Joey Cantillo UTIL 2.1 $6.9k 0.3
Best Bets
San Diego Padres
ML ★★ · +8.3% edge
-135 · $200 bet · $148 profit
Model: 63% vs Market: 55%
WIN
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+412 · $412 per $100
LOSS
CLE 37% 63% SD
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.4% 14.6%
6.5 78.1% 21.9%
7.5 68.6% 31.4%
8.5 60.9% 39.1%
9.5 50.6% 49.4%
10.5 43.1% 56.9%
11.5 34.8% 65.2%
12.5 28.2% 71.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineSD coversCLE covers
SD -1.5 42.9% 29.2%
SD -2.5 33.4% 20.7%
SD -3.5 24.3% 15.3%
Team Totals
LineSDCLE
O 3.5 71.6% 61.4%
O 4.5 57.4% 47.4%
O 5.5 44.9% 34.7%
O 6.5 32.3% 26.5%
Odds
moneyline SD 63% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookCLEImpl%SDImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs CLE 4.7 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs SD 3.6 BET ✗
BookCLESD
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -118 U 8.0 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.5 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 6.4 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.4 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.1 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.8 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Logan Allen Starter 5.0 4.3 5.8 1.9 3.4 35% 100% 10.7 —
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.2 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.9 11.4 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.5 —
Jackson Merrill CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.0 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.5 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.7 —
Yuli Gurriel 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.6 —
Jose Iglesias SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.2 —
Elias Díaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Brandon Lockridge LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael King Starter 5.3 5.6 5.0 2.1 2.7 52% 100% 20.4 —