New York Mets
67% win
2
pred 3.2
FINAL
Miami Marlins
33% win
4
pred 5.2
2025-04-01 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Luis Torrens OF 7.7 $2.2k 3.5
Jesse Winker OF 8.8 $2.8k 3.2
Griffin Conine OF 7.0 $2.4k 2.9
Luisangel Acuña OF 7.9 $3.0k 2.6
Jose Siri OF 7.5 $2.9k 2.6
Kodai Senga SP 21.8 $8.5k 2.6
Kyle Stowers OF 6.9 $2.7k 2.6
Graham Pauley OF 5.4 $2.1k 2.6
Dane Myers OF 5.9 $2.5k 2.3
Brandon Nimmo OF 9.9 $4.4k 2.3
Nick Fortes OF 5.9 $2.6k 2.3
Otto Lopez OF 7.3 $3.3k 2.2
Mark Vientos OF 10.0 $4.6k 2.2
Matt Mervis OF 6.7 $3.1k 2.2
Pete Alonso OF 10.4 $5.1k 2.1
Juan Soto OF 11.9 $6.0k 2.0
Jonah Bride OF 6.2 $3.2k 1.9
Francisco Lindor OF 10.4 $5.5k 1.9
Sandy Alcantara SP 13.9 $8.0k 1.7
Xavier Edwards OF 7.1 $4.3k 1.7
Best Bets
New York Mets
ML ★★ · +8.1% edge
-162 · $200 bet · $124 profit
Model: 67% vs Market: 59%
LOSS
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 67% vs Mkt 59%
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 3.5 off line
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+446 · $446 per $100
LOSS
NYM 67% 33% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.3% 21.7%
6.5 71.5% 28.5%
7.5 60.3% 39.7%
8.5 53.0% 47.0%
9.5 43.6% 56.4%
10.5 35.6% 64.4%
11.5 26.9% 73.1%
12.5 22.2% 77.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversNYM covers
MIA -1.5 28.0% 45.0%
MIA -2.5 20.0% 34.4%
MIA -3.5 13.8% 25.6%
Team Totals
LineMIANYM
O 3.5 52.7% 63.9%
O 4.5 39.9% 51.6%
O 5.5 26.8% 41.4%
O 6.5 19.1% 29.0%
Odds
moneyline NYM 67% · -162 · $62 per $100
BookNYMImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -162 59.3% +136 40.7%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -130 · $77 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.2 − 1.5 = 1.7 vs MIA 5.2 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs NYM 3.2 BET ✓
BookNYMMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +110 +1.5 -130
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 11.9 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.4 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 10.4 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 10.0 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.9 —
Jesse Winker LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.8 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 7.9 —
Luis Torrens C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Jose Siri CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kodai Senga Starter 5.5 6.2 4.9 2.2 2.4 54% 100% 21.8 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Otto Lopez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 7.1 —
Griffin Conine LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.0 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.4 6.9 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 6.7 —
Jonah Bride 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.0 6.2 —
Nick Fortes C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.9 —
Dane Myers CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 5.9 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sandy Alcantara Starter 5.3 5.1 5.1 2.0 2.8 38% 100% 13.9 —