Texas Rangers
59% win
3
pred 3.8
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
41% win
14
pred 5.9
2025-03-31 Great American Ball Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Josh Smith OF 7.8 $2.2k 3.6
Leody Taveras OF 8.1 $2.8k 2.9
Joc Pederson OF 11.6 $4.1k 2.8
Christian Encarnacion-Strand OF 7.5 $2.7k 2.8
Jake Burger OF 10.8 $4.3k 2.5
Corey Seager OF 12.8 $5.3k 2.4
Wyatt Langford OF 10.1 $4.2k 2.4
Jonah Heim OF 8.2 $3.5k 2.3
Jose Trevino OF 5.9 $2.6k 2.3
Marcus Semien OF 10.5 $4.7k 2.2
Adolis García OF 10.0 $4.6k 2.2
Gavin Lux OF 7.5 $3.7k 2.0
TJ Friedl OF 7.5 $4.0k 1.9
Kumar Rocker SP 13.9 $8.2k 1.7
Spencer Steer OF 7.0 $4.2k 1.7
Jeimer Candelario OF 7.1 $4.5k 1.6
Jake Fraley OF 6.0 $3.9k 1.5
Matt McLain OF 7.3 $4.9k 1.5
Elly De La Cruz OF 8.1 $5.9k 1.4
Brady Singer SP 10.5 $7.7k 1.4
Best Bets
Texas Rangers
ML ★ · +7.1% edge
-118 · $100 bet · $85 profit
Model: 59% vs Market: 52%
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +3.5 off line
-166 · $300 bet · $180 profit
Model: 5.9 - 3.8
WIN
Texas Rangers + Cincinnati Reds +1.5
SGP ★★★ ELITE · 2-leg same-game parlay
+196 · $300 bet · $588 profit
LOSS
Predictions
Texas Rangers
ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 52%
-118 · $85 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
RL · 3.5 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.7 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Texas Rangers ML + Cincinnati Reds +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+465 · $465 per $100
LOSS
TEX 59% 41% CIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.3% 14.7%
6.5 79.8% 20.2%
7.5 70.9% 29.1%
8.5 64.4% 35.6%
9.5 53.9% 46.1%
10.5 46.7% 53.3%
11.5 37.3% 62.7%
12.5 30.9% 69.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineCIN coversTEX covers
CIN -1.5 34.8% 40.2%
CIN -2.5 25.3% 31.5%
CIN -3.5 17.4% 23.4%
Team Totals
LineCINTEX
O 3.5 64.4% 68.0%
O 4.5 50.6% 54.8%
O 5.5 38.4% 43.6%
O 6.5 27.4% 32.7%
Odds
moneyline TEX 59% · -118 · $85 per $100
BookTEXImpl%CINImpl%
DraftKings -118 51.7% -102 48.3%
runline Cincinnati Reds +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
TEX -1.5: TEX 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs CIN 5.9 no bet
CIN +1.5: CIN 5.9 + 1.5 = 7.4 vs TEX 3.8 BET ✓
BookTEXCIN
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -102 U 9.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Texas Rangers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corey Seager SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 12.8 —
Joc Pederson 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 11.6 —
Jake Burger 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.8 —
Marcus Semien 2B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 10.5 —
Wyatt Langford LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 10.1 —
Adolis García RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 10.0 —
Jonah Heim C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.2 —
Leody Taveras OF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Josh Smith SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kumar Rocker Starter 5.1 5.5 5.4 2.2 2.9 45% 100% 13.9 —
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.2 8.1 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.5 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Matt McLain 2B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.2 7.3 —
Jeimer Candelario 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.0 —
Jake Fraley RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.0 —
Jose Trevino C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brady Singer Starter 5.1 4.8 5.5 1.7 3.0 41% 100% 10.5 —