Boston Red Sox
51% win
5
pred 5.2
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
49% win
8
pred 4.7
2025-03-31 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ramón Laureano OF 9.1 $2.7k 3.4
Ramón Urías OF 8.9 $2.7k 3.3
Romy Gonzalez OF 7.9 $2.6k 3.1
Rob Refsnyder OF 9.8 $3.3k 3.0
Heston Kjerstad OF 9.2 $3.3k 2.8
Kristian Campbell OF 8.2 $3.4k 2.4
Jordan Westburg OF 11.0 $4.6k 2.4
Cedric Mullins OF 8.7 $3.8k 2.3
Ryan Mountcastle OF 9.4 $4.2k 2.2
Trevor Story OF 8.8 $4.0k 2.2
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 7.6 $3.5k 2.2
Tyler O'Neill OF 10.1 $4.7k 2.2
Cade Povich SP 15.0 $7.5k 2.0
Adley Rutschman OF 9.6 $4.8k 2.0
Connor Wong OF 7.3 $3.7k 2.0
Alex Bregman OF 10.3 $5.3k 2.0
Jackson Holliday OF 7.4 $3.8k 1.9
Rafael Devers OF 9.7 $5.2k 1.9
Jarren Duran OF 9.3 $5.7k 1.6
Sean Newcomb SP 8.8 $7.0k 1.3
Best Bets
Boston Red Sox
ML ★★ · +8.7% edge
+124 · $200 bet · $248 profit
Model: 51% vs Market: 43%
LOSS
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 43%
+124 · $124 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.9 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox ML + Boston Red Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+592 · $592 per $100
LOSS
BOS 51% 49% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.5% 16.5%
6.5 78.4% 21.6%
7.5 69.2% 30.8%
8.5 62.0% 38.0%
9.5 48.4% 51.6%
10.5 41.1% 58.9%
11.5 34.1% 65.9%
12.5 27.9% 72.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversBOS covers
BAL -1.5 32.5% 41.1%
BAL -2.5 23.5% 33.4%
BAL -3.5 16.2% 24.4%
Team Totals
LineBALBOS
O 3.5 60.3% 68.1%
O 4.5 49.1% 56.2%
O 5.5 37.1% 45.0%
O 6.5 26.0% 34.3%
Odds
moneyline BOS 51% · +124 · $124 per $100
BookBOSImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings +124 42.8% -148 57.2%
runline Boston Red Sox +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
BAL -1.5: BAL 4.7 − 1.5 = 3.2 vs BOS 5.2 no bet
BOS +1.5: BOS 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs BAL 4.7 BET ✗
BookBOSBAL
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -108 U 9.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 10.3 —
Rob Refsnyder RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.8 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.7 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Trevor Story SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.2 —
Romy Gonzalez SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Connor Wong C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sean Newcomb Starter 5.3 5.2 4.9 2.5 2.8 46% 100% 8.8 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jordan Westburg 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 11.0 —
Tyler O'Neill RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 10.1 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.6 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.4 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.2 —
Ramón Laureano RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
Ramón Urías 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Cedric Mullins CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cade Povich Starter 5.1 5.0 5.5 2.0 3.1 39% 100% 15.0 —