Kansas City Royals
62% win
11
pred 3
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
38% win
1
pred 5.5
2025-03-31 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
MJ Melendez OF 10.3 $3.3k 3.1
Hunter Renfroe OF 9.4 $3.2k 3.0
Kris Bubic SP 20.2 $7.7k 2.6
Michael Massey OF 10.4 $4.1k 2.5
Vinny Capra OF 6.2 $2.5k 2.5
Salvador Perez OF 11.1 $4.5k 2.5
Jonathan India OF 10.5 $4.4k 2.4
Mark Canha OF 8.0 $3.5k 2.3
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 13.6 $6.0k 2.3
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 11.1 $5.0k 2.2
Maikel Garcia OF 8.2 $4.0k 2.0
Sal Frelick OF 6.4 $3.3k 1.9
Joey Ortiz OF 6.5 $3.4k 1.9
Rhys Hoskins OF 7.3 $4.0k 1.8
William Contreras OF 8.5 $4.7k 1.8
Christian Yelich OF 7.9 $4.9k 1.6
Garrett Mitchell OF 5.7 $3.6k 1.6
Jackson Chourio OF 8.1 $5.6k 1.5
Elvin Rodríguez SP 8.2 $6.0k 1.4
Brice Turang OF 5.3 $4.2k 1.3
Best Bets
Kansas City Royals
ML ★★★ ELITE · +13.3% edge
-105 · $300 bet · $285 profit
Model: 62% vs Market: 49%
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +4.0 off line
-192 · $300 bet · $156 profit
Model: 5.5 - 3.0
LOSS
Kansas City Royals + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
SGP ★★★ ELITE · 2-leg same-game parlay
+197 · $300 bet · $591 profit
LOSS
Predictions
Kansas City Royals
ML · Model 62% vs Mkt 49%
-105 · $95 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 4.0 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+467 · $467 per $100
LOSS
KC 62% 38% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 88.3% 11.7%
6.5 82.9% 17.1%
7.5 73.1% 26.9%
8.5 65.2% 34.8%
9.5 56.8% 43.2%
10.5 48.5% 51.5%
11.5 38.9% 61.1%
12.5 32.0% 68.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversKC covers
MIL -1.5 29.6% 45.0%
MIL -2.5 20.8% 35.2%
MIL -3.5 15.0% 26.8%
Team Totals
LineMILKC
O 3.5 65.4% 72.7%
O 4.5 51.8% 58.9%
O 5.5 39.2% 48.1%
O 6.5 26.8% 37.1%
Odds
moneyline KC 62% · -105 · $95 per $100
BookKCImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings -105 48.9% -115 51.1%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
KC -1.5: KC 3.0 − 1.5 = 1.5 vs MIL 5.5 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 5.5 + 1.5 = 7.0 vs KC 3.0 BET ✗
BookKCMIL
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.9 13.6 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 11.1 —
Salvador Perez C 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 11.1 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.5 —
Michael Massey 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.4 —
MJ Melendez LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.3 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.4 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 8.2 —
Mark Canha LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kris Bubic Starter 5.2 5.1 5.4 2.1 2.9 50% 100% 20.2 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
William Contreras C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Jackson Chourio LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.1 —
Christian Yelich LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.0 7.9 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.5 —
Sal Frelick RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 6.4 —
Vinny Capra 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.2 —
Garrett Mitchell CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.7 —
Brice Turang 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Elvin Rodríguez Starter 5.0 4.7 5.4 2.1 3.4 37% 100% 8.2 —