New York Mets
48% win
1
FINAL
2025-03-29 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jeremy Peña UTIL 14.0 $3.4k 4.1
Jose Siri UTIL 9.0 $2.8k 3.2
Spencer Arrighetti UTIL 23.7 $7.5k 3.2
Griffin Canning UTIL 13.2 $6.7k 2.0
Chas McCormick UTIL 5.0 $2.9k 1.7
Luisangel Acuña UTIL 5.0 $2.9k 1.7
Bryan King UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Isaac Paredes UTIL 6.0 $4.0k 1.5
Juan Soto UTIL 9.0 $6.1k 1.5
Bryan Abreu UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Yordan Alvarez UTIL 7.0 $5.9k 1.2
Jose Altuve UTIL 6.0 $5.1k 1.2
José Buttó UTIL 6.0 $6.0k 1.0
Luis Torrens UTIL 2.0 $2.1k 1.0
Mauricio Dubón UTIL 2.0 $2.6k 0.8
Brandon Nimmo UTIL 2.0 $3.9k 0.5
Josh Hader UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Max Kranick UTIL 1.5 $4.0k 0.4
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + OVER 8.5
SGP · 2-leg same-game parlay
+244 · $244 per $100
LOSS
NYM 48% 52% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.5% 12.5%
6.5 80.7% 19.3%
7.5 71.7% 28.3%
8.5 64.1% 35.9%
9.5 53.4% 46.6%
10.5 45.1% 54.9%
11.5 36.5% 63.5%
12.5 29.9% 70.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversNYM covers
HOU -1.5 34.6% 38.1%
HOU -2.5 23.2% 27.2%
HOU -3.5 16.4% 20.5%
Team Totals
LineHOUNYM
O 3.5 67.2% 68.4%
O 4.5 52.4% 55.8%
O 5.5 40.1% 42.1%
O 6.5 29.8% 30.9%
Odds
moneyline HOU 52% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookNYMImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline
BookNYMHOU
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -120 U 8.5 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 11.5 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.3 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.2 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.6 —
Jesse Winker LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.0 —
Luis Torrens C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.6 —
Jose Siri CF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Griffin Canning Starter 5.1 4.9 5.6 2.0 3.2 42% 100% 12.6 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 11.3 —
Christian Walker 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.8 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.8 8.1 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Chas McCormick CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Arrighetti Starter 5.1 5.8 5.2 2.4 3.1 43% 100% 21.3 —