Chicago Cubs
47% win
1
pred 5.1
FINAL
Arizona Diamondbacks
53% win
8
pred 4.4
2025-03-28 Chase Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Eugenio Suárez UTIL 32.0 $3.4k 9.4
Alek Thomas UTIL 17.0 $2.1k 8.1
Pavin Smith UTIL 19.0 $2.8k 6.8
Geraldo Perdomo UTIL 10.0 $3.0k 3.3
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. UTIL 12.0 $4.0k 3.0
Dansby Swanson UTIL 12.0 $4.4k 2.7
Shelby Miller UTIL 10.5 $4.0k 2.6
Pete Crow-Armstrong UTIL 9.0 $3.8k 2.4
Ketel Marte UTIL 10.0 $5.5k 1.8
Merrill Kelly UTIL 11.8 $7.3k 1.6
Kyle Tucker UTIL 7.0 $5.9k 1.2
Josh Naylor UTIL 5.0 $4.7k 1.1
Joe Mantiply UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Seiya Suzuki UTIL 5.0 $5.0k 1.0
Ian Happ UTIL 2.0 $4.8k 0.4
Ryan Thompson UTIL 1.5 $4.0k 0.4
Corbin Carroll UTIL 2.0 $5.8k 0.3
Predictions
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
Chicago Cubs +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.5 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Arizona Diamondbacks ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
CHC 47% 53% AZ
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.5% 14.5%
6.5 79.4% 20.6%
7.5 70.3% 29.7%
8.5 63.2% 36.8%
9.5 52.8% 47.2%
10.5 45.8% 54.2%
11.5 36.8% 63.2%
12.5 29.0% 71.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineAZ coversCHC covers
AZ -1.5 35.8% 40.6%
AZ -2.5 25.4% 32.3%
AZ -3.5 17.1% 24.6%
Team Totals
LineAZCHC
O 3.5 65.6% 66.8%
O 4.5 49.3% 55.1%
O 5.5 38.2% 43.5%
O 6.5 27.3% 33.2%
Odds
moneyline AZ 53% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookCHCImpl%AZImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs CHC 5.1 no bet
CHC +1.5: CHC 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs AZ 4.4 BET ✗
BookCHCAZ
DraftKings +1.5 -198 -1.5 +164
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -102 U 8.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.9 10.0 —
Ian Happ LF 1.1 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.9 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.3 —
Michael Busch 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.0 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.4 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.7 7.6 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Carson Kelly C 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Matt Shaw 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jameson Taillon Starter 5.3 4.7 5.4 1.8 2.9 47% 100% 11.2 —
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ketel Marte 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 11.3 —
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.9 10.8 —
Pavin Smith 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.5 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.4 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.3 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 8.8 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.8 —
Jose Herrera C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Merrill Kelly Starter 5.2 5.1 5.3 2.0 2.9 43% 100% 17.0 —