Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers — 2025-03-28 | AI Sports Metrics

59% win

1

pred 4.3

FINAL

41% win

4

pred 4.3

2025-03-28 Globe Life Field 0°F

Top DFS Plays

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Wilyer Abreu	OF	9.3	$3.5k	2.7
Jonah Heim	OF	7.6	$3.0k	2.6
Leody Taveras	OF	6.6	$2.9k	2.3
Triston Casas	OF	8.5	$3.8k	2.2
Joc Pederson	OF	9.2	$4.2k	2.2
Jack Leiter	SP	13.7	$6.5k	2.1
Rafael Devers	OF	10.3	$5.0k	2.1
Kristian Campbell	OF	6.7	$3.3k	2.0
Wyatt Langford	OF	8.8	$4.4k	2.0
Marcus Semien	OF	8.9	$4.5k	2.0
Alex Bregman	OF	9.3	$4.8k	1.9
Jarren Duran	OF	10.1	$5.2k	1.9
Jake Burger	OF	8.2	$4.3k	1.9
Connor Wong	OF	7.0	$3.7k	1.9
Corey Seager	OF	9.5	$5.1k	1.9
Josh Jung	OF	6.8	$3.7k	1.8
Adolis García	OF	8.2	$4.7k	1.8
Trevor Story	OF	7.1	$4.1k	1.7
Ceddanne Rafaela	OF	6.3	$3.7k	1.7
Tanner Houck	SP	13.0	$7.7k	1.7

Best Bets

Boston Red Sox

ML ★★ · +9.4% edge

Model: 59% vs Market: 50%

LOSS

Predictions

Boston Red Sox

ML · Model 59%

LOSS

BOS 59% 41% TEX

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	85.4%	14.6%
6.5	80.2%	19.8%
7.5	72.0%	28.0%
8.5	66.2%	33.8%
9.5	56.2%	43.8%
10.5	47.7%	52.3%
11.5	40.5%	59.5%
12.5	35.1%	64.9%

Run Line (margin)

Line	TEX covers	BOS covers
TEX -1.5	27.6%	47.3%
TEX -2.5	18.6%	36.7%
TEX -3.5	12.5%	29.0%

Team Totals

Line	TEX	BOS
O 3.5	61.0%	73.9%
O 4.5	46.2%	61.4%
O 5.5	36.5%	50.5%
O 6.5	26.7%	39.6%

Player Projections actual (projected)

Boston Red Sox

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Rafael Devers	DH	1.1	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.0	0.4	0.9	10.3	—
Jarren Duran	LF	1.2	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.4	1.0	10.1	—
Wilyer Abreu	RF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.9	9.3	—
Alex Bregman	3B	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.5	0.8	9.3	—
Triston Casas	1B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.5	1.0	8.5	—
Trevor Story	SS	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.4	1.0	7.1	—
Connor Wong	C	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.0	—
Kristian Campbell	2B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.9	6.7	—
Ceddanne Rafaela	CF	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	6.3	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Tanner Houck	Starter	5.3	5.2	5.2	1.9	2.7	54%	100%	13.0	—

Texas Rangers

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Corey Seager	SS	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.9	9.5	—
Joc Pederson	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	9.2	—
Marcus Semien	2B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	8.9	—
Wyatt Langford	LF	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.8	—
Jake Burger	1B	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	1.0	8.2	—
Adolis García	RF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.1	8.2	—
Jonah Heim	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.6	—
Josh Jung	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.0	6.8	—
Leody Taveras	OF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.9	6.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jack Leiter	Starter	5.0	4.9	5.6	2.2	3.4	34%	100%	13.7	—