Minnesota Twins

50% win

pred 4.4

FINAL

St. Louis Cardinals

50% win

pred 4.4

2025-03-27 Busch Stadium 0°F

Top DFS Plays

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Sonny Gray	SP	20.7	$7.8k	2.7
Jordan Walker	OF	7.2	$2.8k	2.6
Lars Nootbaar	OF	9.0	$3.7k	2.4
Brendan Donovan	OF	7.8	$3.3k	2.4
Alec Burleson	OF	8.0	$3.4k	2.4
Trevor Larnach	OF	7.7	$3.3k	2.3
Victor Scott II	OF	6.0	$2.7k	2.2
Matt Wallner	OF	8.5	$3.9k	2.2
Byron Buxton	OF	8.8	$4.0k	2.2
Ty France	OF	6.7	$3.1k	2.2
Iván Herrera	OF	7.1	$3.3k	2.2
Willi Castro	OF	6.5	$3.1k	2.1
Willson Contreras	OF	8.5	$4.1k	2.1
Ryan Jeffers	OF	7.8	$3.8k	2.1
Nolan Arenado	OF	7.7	$3.8k	2.0
Harrison Bader	OF	5.9	$3.2k	1.8
Pablo López	SP	14.8	$8.2k	1.8
Carlos Correa	OF	8.4	$4.8k	1.8
Jose Miranda	OF	6.6	$4.1k	1.6
Masyn Winn	OF	6.2	$3.9k	1.6

Predictions

St. Louis Cardinals

ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 48%

-102 · $98 per $100

WIN

St. Louis Cardinals +1.5

RL · 1.4 off line

-175 · $57 per $100

WIN

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

St. Louis Cardinals ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+494 · $494 per $100

WIN

MIN 50% 50% STL

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	93.1%	6.9%
6.5	91.6%	8.4%
7.5	85.9%	14.1%
8.5	81.1%	18.9%
9.5	75.3%	24.7%
10.5	68.4%	31.6%
11.5	61.0%	39.0%
12.5	53.6%	46.4%

Run Line (margin)

Line	STL covers	MIN covers
STL -1.5	40.8%	40.0%
STL -2.5	32.6%	32.0%
STL -3.5	24.4%	25.4%

Team Totals

Line	STL	MIN
O 3.5	78.7%	76.7%
O 4.5	68.3%	67.2%
O 5.5	58.5%	58.0%
O 6.5	48.2%	46.7%

Odds

moneyline STL 50% · -102 · $98 per $100

Book	MIN	Impl%	STL	Impl%
DraftKings	-118	51.7%	-102	48.3%

runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100

MIN -1.5: MIN 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs STL 4.4 no bet

STL +1.5: STL 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs MIN 4.4 BET ✓

Book	MIN		STL
DraftKings	-1.5	+145	+1.5	-175

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -102	U 7.5 -118

Player Projections actual (projected)

Minnesota Twins

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Byron Buxton	CF	0.9	0.2	0.8	0.9	0.1	0.3	1.2	8.8	—
Matt Wallner	RF	1.0	0.2	0.9	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.4	8.5	—
Carlos Correa	SS	1.0	0.1	0.8	0.8	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.4	—
Ryan Jeffers	C	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.8	0.0	0.3	1.1	7.8	—
Trevor Larnach	RF	0.9	0.1	0.8	0.8	0.0	0.4	1.1	7.7	—
Ty France	1B	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.7	—
Jose Miranda	3B	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.8	0.0	0.3	0.9	6.6	—
Willi Castro	LF	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.3	1.0	6.5	—
Harrison Bader	LF	0.8	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.2	0.9	5.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Pablo López	Starter	8.7	8.5	11.0	3.6	6.7	47%	100%	14.8	—

St. Louis Cardinals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Lars Nootbaar	RF	1.0	0.1	0.9	0.7	0.1	0.5	1.0	9.0	—
Willson Contreras	1B	1.0	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.1	0.4	1.2	8.5	—
Alec Burleson	1B	1.0	0.1	0.8	0.8	0.1	0.3	0.8	8.0	—
Brendan Donovan	2B	1.0	0.1	0.8	0.8	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.8	—
Nolan Arenado	3B	1.0	0.1	0.8	0.9	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.7	—
Jordan Walker	RF	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.3	1.0	7.2	—
Iván Herrera	C	1.0	0.1	0.8	0.8	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.1	—
Masyn Winn	SS	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.9	6.2	—
Victor Scott II	CF	0.8	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.1	0.2	1.0	6.0	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Sonny Gray	Starter	9.1	9.9	10.8	4.1	6.7	53%	100%	20.7	—