Atlanta Braves
57% win
4
pred 4.1
FINAL
San Diego Padres
43% win
7
pred 4.1
2025-03-27 Petco Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brandon Lockridge OF 5.7 $2.0k 2.9
Yuli Gurriel OF 7.1 $2.5k 2.8
Michael King SP 21.6 $8.0k 2.7
Jarred Kelenic OF 6.4 $2.8k 2.3
Jurickson Profar OF 9.0 $4.0k 2.3
Elias Díaz OF 5.6 $2.6k 2.1
Orlando Arcia OF 5.9 $2.8k 2.1
Chris Sale SP 18.1 $9.3k 2.0
Manny Machado OF 8.7 $4.7k 1.9
Matt Olson OF 9.1 $5.0k 1.8
Austin Riley OF 8.8 $5.0k 1.8
Luis Arraez OF 6.7 $4.0k 1.7
Michael Harris II OF 7.1 $4.3k 1.7
Ozzie Albies OF 7.1 $4.3k 1.7
Jackson Merrill OF 8.8 $5.3k 1.7
Jake Cronenworth OF 5.9 $3.6k 1.7
Xander Bogaerts OF 7.4 $4.5k 1.6
Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 8.9 $5.5k 1.6
Drake Baldwin OF 4.1 $2.7k 1.5
Marcell Ozuna OF 7.1 $4.7k 1.5
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 57% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres +1.5
RL · 1.5 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Atlanta Braves ML + San Diego Padres +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+436 · $436 per $100
LOSS
ATL 57% 43% SD
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 93.0% 7.0%
6.5 89.6% 10.4%
7.5 85.7% 14.3%
8.5 80.7% 19.3%
9.5 75.0% 25.0%
10.5 69.2% 30.8%
11.5 62.4% 37.6%
12.5 55.0% 45.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineSD coversATL covers
SD -1.5 34.0% 46.4%
SD -2.5 25.1% 37.6%
SD -3.5 18.8% 31.4%
Team Totals
LineSDATL
O 3.5 74.4% 80.5%
O 4.5 63.6% 71.6%
O 5.5 54.0% 62.9%
O 6.5 44.7% 54.6%
Odds
moneyline ATL 57% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookATLImpl%SDImpl%
DraftKings -130 54.3% +110 45.7%
runline San Diego Padres +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs SD 4.1 no bet
SD +1.5: SD 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs ATL 4.1 BET ✓
BookATLSD
DraftKings -1.5 +142 +1.5 -170
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 +102 U 7.0 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Olson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Jurickson Profar 2B 1.0 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.8 —
Michael Harris II CF 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.1 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 0.9 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.1 —
Jarred Kelenic LF 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
Orlando Arcia SS 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
Drake Baldwin C 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 1.0 4.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chris Sale Starter 8.8 9.4 10.7 3.5 6.4 55% 100% 18.1 —
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.4 1.3 8.9 —
Jackson Merrill CF 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.2 1.0 8.8 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.7 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Yuli Gurriel 1B 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Jake Cronenworth 2B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.9 —
Brandon Lockridge LF 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.2 1.3 5.7 —
Elias Díaz C 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael King Starter 9.1 9.7 11.4 4.5 7.4 44% 100% 21.6 —