Cleveland Guardians
36% win
7
pred 5.9
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
64% win
4
pred 3.9
2025-03-27 Kauffman Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Cavan Biggio OF 8.1 $2.0k 4.0
Kyle Isbel OF 7.8 $2.4k 3.3
Hunter Renfroe OF 9.7 $3.1k 3.1
MJ Melendez OF 9.6 $3.4k 2.8
Michael Massey OF 10.2 $3.8k 2.7
Gabriel Arias OF 6.0 $2.3k 2.6
Cole Ragans SP 22.6 $8.6k 2.6
Jonathan India OF 10.4 $4.1k 2.5
Carlos Santana OF 8.4 $3.4k 2.5
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 11.0 $4.6k 2.4
Salvador Perez OF 9.9 $4.2k 2.4
Jhonkensy Noel OF 6.8 $3.0k 2.3
Bo Naylor OF 6.3 $2.8k 2.3
Lane Thomas OF 7.7 $3.5k 2.2
Kyle Manzardo OF 7.0 $3.2k 2.2
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 12.1 $5.9k 2.0
Steven Kwan OF 8.2 $4.0k 2.0
Brayan Rocchio OF 6.0 $3.2k 1.9
José Ramírez OF 8.1 $5.8k 1.4
Ben Lively SP 9.6 $7.0k 1.4
Best Bets
Kansas City Royals
ML ★★ · +9.0% edge
-135 · $200 bet · $148 profit
Model: 64% vs Market: 55%
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +3.6 off line
-192 · $300 bet · $156 profit
Model: 3.9 - 5.9
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL ★★ · +2.3 off line
-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit
Model: 9.8 vs Line: 7.5
WIN
Kansas City Royals + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP ★★★ ELITE · 3-leg same-game parlay
+405 · $300 bet · $1215 profit
LOSS
Predictions
Kansas City Royals
ML · Model 64% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 3.6 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.8 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+405 · $405 per $100
LOSS
CLE 36% 64% KC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 93.4% 6.6%
6.5 91.8% 8.2%
7.5 87.5% 12.5%
8.5 83.1% 16.9%
9.5 75.8% 24.2%
10.5 70.9% 29.1%
11.5 64.3% 35.7%
12.5 57.9% 42.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineKC coversCLE covers
KC -1.5 46.3% 34.1%
KC -2.5 36.0% 28.2%
KC -3.5 29.5% 21.8%
Team Totals
LineKCCLE
O 3.5 81.6% 77.9%
O 4.5 73.9% 68.1%
O 5.5 65.0% 56.7%
O 6.5 54.0% 47.0%
Odds
moneyline KC 64% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookCLEImpl%KCImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
KC -1.5: KC 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs CLE 5.9 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 5.9 + 1.5 = 7.4 vs KC 3.9 BET ✓
BookCLEKC
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -112 U 7.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.4 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Lane Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Jhonkensy Noel RF 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 6.0 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ben Lively Starter 8.6 7.6 11.4 4.0 7.6 42% 100% 9.6 —
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.9 12.1 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.7 11.0 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.4 —
Michael Massey 2B 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.2 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.9 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.7 —
MJ Melendez LF 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.6 —
Cavan Biggio 3B 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cole Ragans Starter 9.1 9.3 10.7 4.4 6.7 58% 100% 22.6 —