Philadelphia Phillies
58% win
7
pred 3.3
FINAL
Washington Nationals
42% win
3
pred 4.9
2025-03-27 Nationals Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Zack Wheeler SP 23.1 $9.5k 2.4
MacKenzie Gore SP 15.6 $6.6k 2.4
Josh Bell OF 7.9 $3.4k 2.3
J.T. Realmuto OF 9.4 $4.1k 2.3
Brandon Marsh OF 7.6 $3.5k 2.2
Nick Castellanos OF 9.6 $4.5k 2.1
Paul DeJong OF 6.0 $2.9k 2.1
Nathaniel Lowe OF 7.3 $3.6k 2.0
Max Kepler OF 8.0 $4.0k 2.0
Trea Turner OF 10.5 $5.3k 2.0
Bryce Harper OF 9.9 $5.1k 1.9
Alec Bohm OF 8.5 $4.4k 1.9
Bryson Stott OF 7.5 $3.9k 1.9
Jacob Young OF 5.5 $2.9k 1.9
Kyle Schwarber OF 9.5 $5.2k 1.8
Keibert Ruiz OF 6.3 $3.5k 1.8
Luis García OF 5.4 $3.3k 1.7
Dylan Crews OF 6.4 $4.1k 1.6
James Wood OF 7.1 $4.9k 1.4
CJ Abrams OF 7.2 $5.0k 1.4
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 3.1 off line
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+447 · $447 per $100
LOSS
PHI 58% 42% WSH
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 96.0% 4.0%
6.5 93.2% 6.8%
7.5 90.5% 9.5%
8.5 87.0% 13.0%
9.5 80.5% 19.5%
10.5 75.7% 24.3%
11.5 69.6% 30.4%
12.5 63.7% 36.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineWSH coversPHI covers
WSH -1.5 27.5% 56.8%
WSH -2.5 18.7% 51.7%
WSH -3.5 13.4% 44.7%
Team Totals
LineWSHPHI
O 3.5 73.7% 87.3%
O 4.5 62.3% 81.0%
O 5.5 51.6% 74.0%
O 6.5 41.4% 65.3%
Odds
moneyline PHI 58% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookPHIImpl%WSHImpl%
DraftKings -155 58.3% +130 41.7%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -135 · $74 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 3.3 − 1.5 = 1.8 vs WSH 4.9 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs PHI 3.3 BET ✗
BookPHIWSH
DraftKings -1.5 +114 +1.5 -135
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -125 U 7.0 +105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Trea Turner SS 1.2 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.4 1.1 10.5 —
Bryce Harper 1B 1.1 0.2 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.9 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.6 —
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.9 0.2 1.1 1.0 0.0 0.6 1.1 9.5 —
J.T. Realmuto C 1.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 9.4 —
Alec Bohm 3B 1.1 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Brandon Marsh CF 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.6 —
Bryson Stott 2B 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zack Wheeler Starter 8.8 9.0 10.5 3.4 6.2 64% 100% 23.1 —
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Josh Bell 1B 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 1.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
CJ Abrams SS 1.1 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
James Wood LF 1.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.2 7.1 —
Dylan Crews RF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.9 6.4 —
Keibert Ruiz C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.3 —
Paul DeJong SS 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.0 —
Jacob Young CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.9 5.5 —
Luis García P 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
MacKenzie Gore Starter 9.1 9.9 13.1 5.3 9.1 36% 100% 15.6 —