Boston Red Sox
59% win
5
pred 4.4
FINAL
Texas Rangers
41% win
2
pred 4.7
2025-03-27 Globe Life Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Kevin Pillar OF 6.1 $2.0k 3.1
Nathan Eovaldi SP 19.9 $7.2k 2.8
Wilyer Abreu OF 9.0 $3.3k 2.7
Kyle Higashioka OF 6.8 $2.6k 2.6
Josh Smith OF 5.8 $2.4k 2.4
Triston Casas OF 9.1 $3.9k 2.3
Rafael Devers OF 10.0 $4.9k 2.0
Kristian Campbell OF 6.1 $3.1k 2.0
Wyatt Langford OF 8.3 $4.3k 1.9
Alex Bregman OF 9.2 $4.8k 1.9
Garrett Crochet SP 16.6 $9.0k 1.9
Marcus Semien OF 7.7 $4.4k 1.7
Jake Burger OF 7.6 $4.4k 1.7
Corey Seager OF 9.0 $5.2k 1.7
Connor Wong OF 6.4 $3.7k 1.7
Adolis García OF 7.8 $4.6k 1.7
Jarren Duran OF 8.9 $5.4k 1.6
Josh Jung OF 6.0 $3.7k 1.6
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.2 $3.8k 1.6
Trevor Story OF 6.8 $4.4k 1.6
Best Bets
Boston Red Sox
ML ★ · +6.6% edge
-120 · $100 bet · $83 profit
Model: 59% vs Market: 52%
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL ★ · +1.6 off line
-110 · $100 bet · $91 profit
Model: 9.1 vs Line: 7.5
LOSS
Boston Red Sox + OVER 7.5
SGP ★ · 2-leg same-game parlay
+250 · $100 bet · $250 profit
LOSS
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 52%
-120 · $83 per $100
WIN
Texas Rangers +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.1 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Texas Rangers +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+450 · $450 per $100
LOSS
BOS 59% 41% TEX
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 94.9% 5.1%
6.5 92.6% 7.4%
7.5 88.3% 11.7%
8.5 84.1% 15.9%
9.5 77.8% 22.2%
10.5 73.1% 26.9%
11.5 65.3% 34.7%
12.5 59.5% 40.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineTEX coversBOS covers
TEX -1.5 36.0% 45.0%
TEX -2.5 28.0% 38.1%
TEX -3.5 21.6% 31.7%
Team Totals
LineTEXBOS
O 3.5 79.1% 82.5%
O 4.5 70.0% 76.0%
O 5.5 57.5% 65.7%
O 6.5 46.7% 56.0%
Odds
moneyline BOS 59% · -120 · $83 per $100
BookBOSImpl%TEXImpl%
DraftKings -120 52.2% +100 47.8%
runline Texas Rangers +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs TEX 4.7 no bet
TEX +1.5: TEX 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs BOS 4.4 BET ✗
BookBOSTEX
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -112 U 7.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.0 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.2 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.9 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.0 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.3 1.1 8.9 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
Connor Wong C 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.2 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Garrett Crochet Starter 8.7 10.1 10.8 3.7 6.9 53% 100% 16.6 —
Texas Rangers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corey Seager SS 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.4 1.2 9.0 —
Wyatt Langford LF 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.3 —
Adolis García RF 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.3 1.3 7.8 —
Marcus Semien 2B 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.7 —
Jake Burger 1B 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.6 —
Kyle Higashioka C 0.8 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.8 —
Kevin Pillar CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.1 —
Josh Jung 3B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.0 —
Josh Smith SS 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nathan Eovaldi Starter 9.1 9.5 12.0 4.0 7.8 47% 100% 19.9 —