Cincinnati Reds
48% win
7
pred 4.1
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
52% win
1
pred 4.2
2025-05-19 PNC Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Nick Solak OF 7.3 $2.0k 3.7
Jared Triolo OF 6.6 $2.4k 2.8
Alexander Canario OF 8.0 $2.9k 2.7
Tommy Pham OF 6.8 $2.5k 2.7
Ke'Bryan Hayes OF 8.3 $3.1k 2.7
Mitch Keller SP 17.3 $6.5k 2.7
Joey Bart OF 7.5 $3.3k 2.3
Santiago Espinal OF 7.6 $3.4k 2.2
Will Benson OF 7.1 $3.2k 2.2
Bryan Reynolds OF 7.5 $3.4k 2.2
Andrew McCutchen OF 8.4 $3.8k 2.2
Spencer Steer OF 8.0 $3.8k 2.1
Gavin Lux OF 7.4 $3.5k 2.1
Tyler Stephenson OF 7.3 $3.7k 2.0
TJ Friedl OF 8.2 $4.2k 2.0
Isiah Kiner-Falefa OF 6.1 $3.2k 1.9
Nick Lodolo SP 15.1 $8.2k 1.9
Austin Hays OF 8.0 $5.1k 1.6
Matt McLain OF 7.2 $4.6k 1.6
Elly De La Cruz OF 8.0 $5.9k 1.4
Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 1.6 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+500 · $500 per $100
LOSS
CIN 48% 52% PIT
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.7% 18.3%
6.5 75.4% 24.6%
7.5 67.8% 32.2%
8.5 60.4% 39.6%
9.5 49.1% 50.9%
10.5 42.6% 57.4%
11.5 34.0% 66.0%
12.5 27.4% 72.6%
Run Line (margin)
LinePIT coversCIN covers
PIT -1.5 31.5% 41.8%
PIT -2.5 23.1% 31.7%
PIT -3.5 15.9% 23.4%
Team Totals
LinePITCIN
O 3.5 60.5% 68.4%
O 4.5 48.4% 56.1%
O 5.5 35.3% 43.0%
O 6.5 25.6% 30.5%
Odds
moneyline PIT 52% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookCINImpl%PITImpl%
DraftKings -118 51.7% -102 48.3%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs PIT 4.2 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs CIN 4.1 BET ✗
BookCINPIT
DraftKings -1.5 +142 +1.5 -170
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -110 U 8.0 -110
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Austin Hays LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.0 —
Spencer Steer 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.6 —
Gavin Lux 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Tyler Stephenson C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Matt McLain 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Will Benson LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Lodolo Starter 5.9 6.0 6.2 2.2 3.2 51% 100% 15.1 —
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 8.4 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Alexander Canario CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.0 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.5 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Nick Solak 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitch Keller Starter 6.1 6.3 6.3 2.3 3.5 42% 100% 17.3 —