Tampa Bay Rays
50% win
1
pred 3.8
FINAL
Miami Marlins
50% win
5
pred 4.9
2025-05-18 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ben Rortvedt OF 7.2 $2.3k 3.1
Jonathan Aranda OF 11.7 $4.1k 2.9
Taylor Walls OF 7.6 $2.7k 2.8
Brandon Lowe OF 9.9 $3.7k 2.7
Matt Mervis OF 8.5 $3.2k 2.7
Yandy Díaz OF 10.1 $3.8k 2.6
Jesús Sánchez OF 8.8 $3.4k 2.6
Josh Lowe OF 10.7 $4.2k 2.5
Kameron Misner OF 7.9 $3.2k 2.5
Christopher Morel OF 8.7 $3.5k 2.5
Agustín Ramírez OF 9.7 $4.0k 2.4
Liam Hicks OF 7.0 $2.9k 2.4
Eric Wagaman OF 7.1 $3.0k 2.4
Junior Caminero OF 10.2 $4.3k 2.4
Javier Sanoja OF 6.0 $2.7k 2.2
Connor Norby OF 7.6 $3.5k 2.2
Kyle Stowers OF 8.8 $4.4k 2.0
Cal Quantrill SP 9.8 $5.0k 2.0
Shane Baz SP 15.6 $8.3k 1.9
Otto Lopez OF 6.9 $4.0k 1.7
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 60%
-166 · $60 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-122 · $82 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+457 · $457 per $100
LOSS
TB 50% 50% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.0% 16.0%
6.5 77.5% 22.5%
7.5 67.8% 32.2%
8.5 59.6% 40.4%
9.5 48.4% 51.6%
10.5 39.2% 60.8%
11.5 29.5% 70.5%
12.5 24.3% 75.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversTB covers
MIA -1.5 36.0% 40.3%
MIA -2.5 26.3% 31.4%
MIA -3.5 18.3% 21.5%
Team Totals
LineMIATB
O 3.5 63.7% 64.2%
O 4.5 48.1% 52.8%
O 5.5 36.2% 39.7%
O 6.5 23.4% 27.9%
Odds
moneyline TB 50% · -166 · $60 per $100
BookTBImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -166 59.9% +140 40.1%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -122 · $82 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs MIA 4.9 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs TB 3.8 BET ✓
BookTBMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +102 +1.5 -122
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -118 U 8.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan Aranda 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 11.7 —
Josh Lowe RF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 10.7 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 10.2 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 10.1 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.9 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.6 —
Ben Rortvedt C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shane Baz Starter 5.7 5.6 5.7 2.2 3.1 48% 100% 15.6 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Agustín Ramírez C 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.7 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.8 —
Jesús Sánchez RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.8 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.5 —
Connor Norby 3B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.6 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Liam Hicks C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.0 —
Otto Lopez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cal Quantrill Starter 5.1 4.8 5.5 2.0 3.1 43% 100% 9.8 —