Pittsburgh Pirates
49% win
0
pred 4.2
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
51% win
1
pred 4.8
2025-05-18 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Will Smith UTIL 22.0 $4.8k 4.6
Shohei Ohtani UTIL 13.0 $6.7k 1.9
Anthony Banda UTIL 5.3 $4.0k 1.3
Michael Conforto UTIL 4.0 $3.1k 1.3
Enrique Hernández UTIL 4.0 $3.2k 1.3
Freddie Freeman UTIL 3.0 $6.3k 0.5
Mookie Betts UTIL 2.0 $5.7k 0.4
Luis García UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Tony Gonsolin UTIL 1.6 $9.3k 0.2
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 49%
-105 · $95 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+486 · $486 per $100
LOSS
PIT 49% 51% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 79.5% 20.5%
6.5 74.3% 25.7%
7.5 63.7% 36.3%
8.5 54.9% 45.1%
9.5 46.3% 53.7%
10.5 38.5% 61.5%
11.5 30.9% 69.1%
12.5 24.9% 75.1%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversPIT covers
PHI -1.5 32.7% 39.1%
PHI -2.5 23.9% 28.9%
PHI -3.5 16.8% 21.2%
Team Totals
LinePHIPIT
O 3.5 60.8% 62.4%
O 4.5 45.5% 50.9%
O 5.5 33.7% 39.2%
O 6.5 25.0% 28.0%
Odds
moneyline PHI 51% · -105 · $95 per $100
BookPITImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings -115 51.1% -105 48.9%
runline Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
PIT -1.5: PIT 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs PHI 4.8 no bet
PHI +1.5: PHI 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs PIT 4.2 BET ✓
BookPITPHI
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Oneil Cruz CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.4 11.5 —
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 11.3 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 9.5 —
Spencer Horwitz 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 8.9 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Henry Davis C 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Paul Skenes Starter 6.1 6.2 5.7 2.2 3.0 49% 100% 17.3 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 10.2 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.4 —
Brandon Marsh CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 8.2 —
Nick Castellanos RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.1 7.8 —
Max Kepler RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.7 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Rafael Marchán C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mick Abel Starter 5.3 5.3 5.2 2.2 2.8 44% 100% 14.3 —