Tampa Bay Rays
50% win
4
pred 4.3
FINAL
Miami Marlins
50% win
0
pred 5.7
2025-05-17 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Danny Jansen OF 8.0 $2.6k 3.1
Brandon Lowe OF 10.7 $3.6k 3.0
Taylor Walls OF 7.7 $2.7k 2.8
Jonathan Aranda OF 11.5 $4.1k 2.8
Josh Lowe OF 10.9 $3.9k 2.8
Liam Hicks OF 7.7 $2.9k 2.7
Nick Fortes OF 6.0 $2.3k 2.6
Kameron Misner OF 8.8 $3.4k 2.6
Ronny Simon OF 6.6 $2.6k 2.5
Eric Wagaman OF 7.3 $3.0k 2.4
Jesús Sánchez OF 8.0 $3.4k 2.4
José Caballero OF 7.5 $3.3k 2.3
Matt Mervis OF 7.2 $3.2k 2.2
Javier Sanoja OF 5.8 $2.7k 2.2
Connor Norby OF 7.5 $3.5k 2.1
Kyle Stowers OF 8.8 $4.4k 2.0
Chandler Simpson OF 7.3 $3.7k 2.0
Drew Rasmussen SP 15.2 $8.0k 1.9
Sandy Alcantara SP 11.5 $8.2k 1.4
Best Bets
OVER 8.0
TOTAL ★★ · +2.0 off line
-110 · $200 bet · $182 profit
Model: 10.0 vs Line: 8.0
LOSS
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.8 off line
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 10.0 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+447 · $447 per $100
LOSS
TB 50% 50% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.3% 19.7%
6.5 72.3% 27.7%
7.5 60.2% 39.8%
8.5 50.8% 49.2%
9.5 42.0% 58.0%
10.5 35.1% 64.9%
11.5 26.6% 73.4%
12.5 20.1% 79.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversTB covers
MIA -1.5 30.5% 41.7%
MIA -2.5 20.7% 31.6%
MIA -3.5 13.6% 22.6%
Team Totals
LineMIATB
O 3.5 56.7% 63.2%
O 4.5 41.6% 50.1%
O 5.5 30.5% 37.6%
O 6.5 18.6% 27.8%
Odds
moneyline TB 50% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookTBImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -155 58.3% +130 41.7%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -135 · $74 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs MIA 5.7 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.7 + 1.5 = 7.2 vs TB 4.3 BET ✗
BookTBMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +114 +1.5 -135
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -115 U 8.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan Aranda 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 11.5 —
Josh Lowe RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 10.9 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 10.7 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 9.4 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.8 —
Danny Jansen C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.0 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
José Caballero SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Chandler Simpson CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 7.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Drew Rasmussen Starter 5.3 5.0 5.0 1.6 2.5 49% 100% 15.2 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.8 —
Jesús Sánchez RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Liam Hicks C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.7 —
Connor Norby 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.5 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Ronny Simon 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.6 —
Nick Fortes C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.0 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sandy Alcantara Starter 5.7 5.4 5.8 2.3 3.1 42% 100% 11.5 —