Tampa Bay Rays
48% win
4
pred 4.2
FINAL
Miami Marlins
52% win
9
pred 4.6
2025-05-16 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ben Rortvedt OF 7.1 $2.0k 3.5
Graham Pauley OF 7.0 $2.1k 3.3
Ronny Simon OF 7.0 $2.3k 3.0
Brandon Lowe OF 9.4 $3.5k 2.7
Eric Wagaman OF 7.8 $3.1k 2.5
Yandy Díaz OF 9.5 $3.8k 2.5
Jesús Sánchez OF 8.6 $3.5k 2.5
Josh Lowe OF 10.0 $4.1k 2.4
Agustín Ramírez OF 9.5 $4.0k 2.4
Jonathan Aranda OF 9.6 $4.1k 2.4
Taj Bradley SP 15.4 $7.0k 2.2
José Caballero OF 6.9 $3.2k 2.2
Connor Norby OF 7.8 $3.7k 2.1
Junior Caminero OF 9.0 $4.3k 2.1
Kameron Misner OF 7.7 $3.7k 2.1
Kyle Stowers OF 9.5 $4.6k 2.1
Javier Sanoja OF 6.2 $3.1k 2.0
Max Meyer SP 16.2 $8.2k 2.0
Derek Hill OF 6.4 $3.4k 1.9
Chandler Simpson OF 6.4 $3.6k 1.8
Predictions
Miami Marlins
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+500 · $500 per $100
WIN
TB 48% 52% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.4% 17.6%
6.5 74.7% 25.3%
7.5 64.3% 35.7%
8.5 56.5% 43.5%
9.5 46.4% 53.6%
10.5 38.7% 61.3%
11.5 31.1% 68.9%
12.5 25.0% 75.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversTB covers
MIA -1.5 33.8% 40.0%
MIA -2.5 24.2% 30.7%
MIA -3.5 16.4% 23.0%
Team Totals
LineMIATB
O 3.5 61.8% 64.7%
O 4.5 48.3% 51.4%
O 5.5 35.8% 41.3%
O 6.5 24.4% 30.7%
Odds
moneyline MIA 52% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookTBImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -118 51.7% -102 48.3%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs MIA 4.6 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs TB 4.2 BET ✓
BookTBMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +142 +1.5 -170
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -105 U 8.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Josh Lowe RF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 10.0 —
Jonathan Aranda 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.6 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.5 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.4 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.0 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.7 —
Ben Rortvedt C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
José Caballero SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Chandler Simpson CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Taj Bradley Starter 6.1 6.0 6.0 2.2 3.3 49% 100% 15.4 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Agustín Ramírez C 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.5 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 9.5 —
Jesús Sánchez RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.6 —
Connor Norby 3B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.8 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Ronny Simon 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 7.0 —
Derek Hill CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Max Meyer Starter 5.8 6.1 6.0 2.1 3.4 44% 100% 16.2 —