Pittsburgh Pirates
36% win
4
pred 5.5
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
64% win
8
pred 3.9
2025-05-16 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Max Muncy UTIL 11.0 $3.1k 3.6
Jack Dreyer UTIL 12.5 $4.0k 3.1
Shohei Ohtani UTIL 19.0 $6.5k 2.9
Hyeseong Kim UTIL 6.0 $2.4k 2.5
Dustin May UTIL 13.3 $7.2k 1.8
Will Smith UTIL 8.0 $4.6k 1.7
Luis García UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Michael Conforto UTIL 2.0 $3.0k 0.7
Mookie Betts UTIL 2.0 $5.6k 0.4
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 64% vs Mkt 68%
-238 · $42 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 3.1 off line
-108 · $93 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.4 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+422 · $422 per $100
LOSS
PIT 36% 64% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.1% 15.9%
6.5 79.1% 20.9%
7.5 69.7% 30.3%
8.5 59.8% 40.2%
9.5 51.3% 48.7%
10.5 43.4% 56.6%
11.5 34.4% 65.6%
12.5 27.6% 72.4%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversPIT covers
PHI -1.5 40.7% 33.9%
PHI -2.5 30.0% 24.9%
PHI -3.5 21.4% 16.9%
Team Totals
LinePHIPIT
O 3.5 66.7% 62.2%
O 4.5 54.5% 49.7%
O 5.5 42.1% 37.5%
O 6.5 29.4% 28.5%
Odds
moneyline PHI 64% · -238 · $42 per $100
BookPITImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings +195 32.5% -238 67.5%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -108 · $93 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs PIT 5.5 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 5.5 + 1.5 = 7.0 vs PHI 3.9 BET ✗
BookPITPHI
DraftKings +1.5 -108 -1.5 -112
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +100 U 9.0 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew McCutchen RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.9 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.6 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.2 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.0 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Nick Solak 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.4 —
Matt Gorski 1B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.3 —
Tommy Pham LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Heaney Starter 5.9 5.8 6.2 2.3 3.6 44% 100% 10.5 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.3 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 9.8 —
Bryce Harper 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.8 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 9.4 —
Weston Wilson 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.2 —
Alec Bohm 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.2 —
Edmundo Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Johan Rojas CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ranger Suarez Starter 5.3 5.3 5.4 1.9 2.7 46% 100% 18.5 —