Pittsburgh Pirates
36% win
4
pred 5.1
FINAL
New York Mets
64% win
0
pred 3
2025-05-14 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Matt Gorski UTIL 16.0 $2.1k 7.6
Jared Triolo UTIL 16.0 $2.4k 6.7
Jihwan Bae UTIL 5.0 $2.0k 2.5
Alexander Canario UTIL 6.0 $2.5k 2.4
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 8.0 $3.4k 2.4
Chase Shugart UTIL 8.7 $4.0k 2.2
Starling Marte UTIL 5.0 $3.2k 1.6
David Bednar UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Bailey Falter UTIL 9.5 $6.8k 1.4
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Dedniel Núñez UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Clay Holmes UTIL 8.7 $9.0k 1.0
Luis Torrens UTIL 3.0 $3.2k 0.9
Tanner Rainey UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Jeff McNeil UTIL 3.0 $3.4k 0.9
Mark Vientos UTIL 3.0 $3.5k 0.9
Pete Alonso UTIL 5.0 $5.8k 0.9
Joey Bart UTIL 3.0 $3.5k 0.9
Brandon Nimmo UTIL 3.0 $4.2k 0.7
Luisangel Acuña UTIL 2.0 $3.7k 0.5
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 2.0 $3.7k 0.5
Dennis Santana UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Francisco Lindor UTIL 2.0 $5.4k 0.4
Best Bets
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +3.6 off line
+114 · $300 bet · $342 profit
Model: 3.0 - 5.1
WIN
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 64% vs Mkt 72%
-298 · $34 per $100
LOSS
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 3.6 off line
+114 · $114 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+446 · $446 per $100
LOSS
PIT 36% 64% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 77.9% 22.1%
6.5 69.7% 30.3%
7.5 60.1% 39.9%
8.5 52.5% 47.5%
9.5 42.8% 57.2%
10.5 36.6% 63.4%
11.5 27.9% 72.1%
12.5 22.2% 77.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversPIT covers
NYM -1.5 43.4% 30.9%
NYM -2.5 30.6% 20.7%
NYM -3.5 21.9% 14.5%
Team Totals
LineNYMPIT
O 3.5 63.8% 53.6%
O 4.5 49.4% 41.9%
O 5.5 38.3% 30.0%
O 6.5 26.8% 20.8%
Odds
moneyline NYM 64% · -298 · $34 per $100
BookPITImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +240 28.2% -298 71.8%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · +114 · $114 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.0 − 1.5 = 1.5 vs PIT 5.1 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs NYM 3.0 BET ✓
BookPITNYM
DraftKings +1.5 +114 -1.5 -135
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -108 U 8.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 6.8 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.5 —
Adam Frazier 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.4 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.2 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
Joey Bart C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.0 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.8 —
Jihwan Bae CF 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.0 5.6 —
Matt Gorski 1B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.3 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bailey Falter Starter 5.6 4.8 5.6 2.0 3.1 40% 100% 9.5 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.8 11.3 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 11.0 —
Mark Vientos 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.7 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.1 —
Luis Torrens C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.8 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Starling Marte LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
José Azocar RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Clay Holmes Starter 5.8 6.2 5.5 2.1 2.6 55% 100% 21.0 —