Pittsburgh Pirates
36% win
1
pred 4.9
FINAL
New York Mets
64% win
2
pred 2.7
2025-05-13 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brett Baty UTIL 17.0 $3.0k 5.7
Ke'Bryan Hayes UTIL 16.0 $3.3k 4.9
Adam Frazier UTIL 14.0 $2.9k 4.8
Mitch Keller UTIL 24.2 $6.0k 4.0
Alexander Canario UTIL 8.0 $2.4k 3.3
Henry Davis UTIL 7.0 $2.1k 3.3
Juan Soto UTIL 14.0 $5.2k 2.7
Jared Triolo UTIL 5.0 $2.3k 2.2
Kodai Senga UTIL 20.0 $9.5k 2.1
Brandon Nimmo UTIL 7.0 $4.2k 1.7
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 5.0 $3.4k 1.5
Ryne Stanek UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Jihwan Bae UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Max Kranick UTIL 8.3 $8.4k 1.0
Edwin Díaz UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Mark Vientos UTIL 3.0 $3.5k 0.9
Joey Bart UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Ryan Borucki UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Best Bets
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +3.7 off line
+100 · $300 bet · $300 profit
Model: 2.7 - 4.9
WIN
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 64% vs Mkt 70%
-265 · $38 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 3.7 off line
+100 · $100 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.7 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+426 · $426 per $100
LOSS
PIT 36% 64% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.9% 19.1%
6.5 73.2% 26.8%
7.5 62.4% 37.6%
8.5 52.0% 48.0%
9.5 41.8% 58.2%
10.5 35.0% 65.0%
11.5 25.6% 74.4%
12.5 19.6% 80.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversPIT covers
NYM -1.5 47.7% 27.6%
NYM -2.5 34.4% 19.3%
NYM -3.5 24.4% 12.5%
Team Totals
LineNYMPIT
O 3.5 68.4% 54.4%
O 4.5 55.8% 38.6%
O 5.5 40.7% 26.9%
O 6.5 27.8% 18.2%
Odds
moneyline NYM 64% · -265 · $38 per $100
BookPITImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +215 30.4% -265 69.6%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · +100 · $100 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 2.7 − 1.5 = 1.2 vs PIT 4.9 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs NYM 2.7 BET ✓
BookPITNYM
DraftKings +1.5 +100 -1.5 -120
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -108 U 7.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Adam Frazier 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.1 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.8 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.7 —
Joey Bart C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.1 6.6 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 6.5 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.1 —
Henry Davis C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 5.7 —
Jihwan Bae CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.0 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Mitch Keller Starter 6.0 5.6 6.2 2.4 3.5 35% 100% 10.0 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 12.2 —
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 11.5 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 10.5 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.1 —
Mark Vientos 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.1 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.5 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kodai Senga Starter 5.8 6.1 5.1 2.5 2.6 60% 100% 20.7 —