Pittsburgh Pirates
48% win
3
pred 4.2
FINAL
New York Mets
52% win
4
pred 3.4
2025-05-12 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jared Triolo UTIL 14.0 $2.3k 6.1
Isiah Kiner-Falefa UTIL 17.0 $3.4k 5.0
Jeff McNeil UTIL 11.0 $3.4k 3.2
Tyrone Taylor UTIL 9.0 $2.9k 3.1
Mark Vientos UTIL 8.0 $3.5k 2.3
David Peterson UTIL 18.7 $8.2k 2.3
Ke'Bryan Hayes UTIL 7.0 $3.2k 2.2
Francisco Lindor UTIL 11.0 $5.4k 2.0
Paul Skenes UTIL 18.1 $9.7k 1.9
Brandon Nimmo UTIL 7.0 $4.0k 1.8
Luisangel Acuña UTIL 5.0 $3.1k 1.6
Huascar Brazobán UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Juan Soto UTIL 7.0 $5.1k 1.4
Alexander Canario UTIL 3.0 $2.4k 1.3
Andrew McCutchen UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Pete Alonso UTIL 7.0 $5.7k 1.2
Jihwan Bae UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Francisco Alvarez UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Joey Bart UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
Dedniel Núñez UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Bryan Reynolds UTIL 2.0 $3.8k 0.5
José Buttó UTIL 3.7 $8.2k 0.5
Colin Holderman UTIL 1.8 $4.0k 0.5
David Bednar UTIL 0.3 $4.0k 0.1
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 60%
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.6 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+386 · $386 per $100
LOSS
PIT 48% 52% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.1% 19.9%
6.5 71.7% 28.3%
7.5 61.7% 38.3%
8.5 52.6% 47.4%
9.5 42.8% 57.2%
10.5 34.9% 65.1%
11.5 27.5% 72.5%
12.5 20.7% 79.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversPIT covers
NYM -1.5 38.4% 37.6%
NYM -2.5 27.1% 28.9%
NYM -3.5 18.4% 23.1%
Team Totals
LineNYMPIT
O 3.5 59.1% 59.6%
O 4.5 45.4% 45.4%
O 5.5 32.2% 34.9%
O 6.5 23.3% 25.2%
Odds
moneyline NYM 52% · -166 · $60 per $100
BookPITImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +140 40.1% -166 59.9%
runline Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs PIT 4.2 no bet
PIT +1.5: PIT 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs NYM 3.4 BET ✓
BookPITNYM
DraftKings +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -122 U 7.0 +102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Pittsburgh Pirates
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew McCutchen RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.7 —
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.7 —
Bryan Reynolds RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.4 —
Joey Bart C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.0 —
Alexander Canario CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Matt Gorski 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.2 6.8 —
Jared Triolo SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.5 —
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.4 —
Henry Davis C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Paul Skenes Starter 6.0 6.3 5.5 2.2 3.0 46% 100% 16.6 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 10.1 —
Pete Alonso 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.3 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Jeff McNeil 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Francisco Alvarez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.3 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
David Peterson Starter 5.9 6.0 6.0 2.2 3.1 50% 100% 17.9 —