Milwaukee Brewers
47% win
4
pred 5.1
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
53% win
2
pred 4.5
2025-05-11 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Travis Jankowski OF 6.3 $2.2k 2.9
Brandon Lowe OF 9.6 $3.4k 2.8
Jonathan Aranda OF 10.8 $3.9k 2.8
Yandy Díaz OF 9.5 $4.0k 2.4
Taylor Walls OF 6.8 $2.9k 2.3
Chandler Simpson OF 7.5 $3.3k 2.3
Joey Ortiz OF 5.9 $2.6k 2.3
Drew Rasmussen SP 17.1 $7.6k 2.3
Rhys Hoskins OF 7.6 $3.5k 2.2
Danny Jansen OF 6.8 $3.1k 2.2
Jake Bauers OF 7.7 $3.7k 2.1
Kameron Misner OF 7.7 $3.7k 2.1
Chad Patrick SP 13.4 $6.5k 2.1
Sal Frelick OF 7.3 $3.6k 2.0
José Caballero OF 6.8 $3.5k 2.0
Christian Yelich OF 7.8 $4.6k 1.7
Caleb Durbin OF 5.6 $3.4k 1.7
William Contreras OF 7.2 $4.4k 1.6
Jackson Chourio OF 7.9 $5.0k 1.6
Brice Turang OF 7.2 $4.7k 1.5
Predictions
Tampa Bay Rays
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Tampa Bay Rays ML + Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+408 · $408 per $100
LOSS
MIL 47% 53% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 75.3% 24.7%
6.5 67.8% 32.2%
7.5 56.6% 43.4%
8.5 48.5% 51.5%
9.5 38.2% 61.8%
10.5 30.9% 69.1%
11.5 23.7% 76.3%
12.5 17.7% 82.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversMIL covers
TB -1.5 32.6% 38.0%
TB -2.5 22.2% 27.7%
TB -3.5 15.1% 20.1%
Team Totals
LineTBMIL
O 3.5 55.1% 56.8%
O 4.5 41.3% 43.5%
O 5.5 28.0% 32.0%
O 6.5 17.7% 23.1%
Odds
moneyline TB 53% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookMILImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
TB -1.5: TB 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs MIL 5.1 no bet
MIL +1.5: MIL 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs TB 4.5 BET ✓
BookMILTB
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -108 U 9.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Christian Yelich LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 7.8 —
Jake Bauers 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.6 —
Sal Frelick RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 7.3 —
William Contreras C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.2 —
Brice Turang 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.9 —
Caleb Durbin 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chad Patrick Starter 6.0 5.8 5.6 2.2 2.8 50% 100% 13.4 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan Aranda 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.8 —
Brandon Lowe 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.6 —
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.5 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Chandler Simpson CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
José Caballero SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Danny Jansen C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.8 —
Travis Jankowski RF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Drew Rasmussen Starter 5.3 5.0 5.1 1.8 2.6 44% 100% 17.1 —