Milwaukee Brewers

50% win

pred 4.5

FINAL

Tampa Bay Rays

50% win

pred 5.1

2025-05-09 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F

Top DFS Plays

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Curtis Mead	OF	7.0	$2.2k	3.2
Rhys Hoskins	OF	11.1	$3.7k	3.0
Danny Jansen	OF	8.4	$2.9k	2.9
Joey Ortiz	OF	6.8	$2.4k	2.8
Yandy Díaz	OF	10.7	$3.8k	2.8
Christian Yelich	OF	11.5	$4.5k	2.6
William Contreras	OF	10.6	$4.3k	2.5
Brandon Lowe	OF	8.7	$3.6k	2.4
Christopher Morel	OF	9.6	$4.0k	2.4
Taylor Walls	OF	7.4	$3.1k	2.4
Junior Caminero	OF	9.0	$3.9k	2.3
Jake Bauers	OF	8.5	$3.9k	2.2
Caleb Durbin	OF	7.6	$3.5k	2.2
Jackson Chourio	OF	10.5	$4.9k	2.1
Sal Frelick	OF	7.8	$3.9k	2.0
José Caballero	OF	6.7	$3.4k	2.0
Brice Turang	OF	9.0	$4.7k	1.9
Chandler Simpson	OF	6.5	$3.5k	1.9
Zack Littell	SP	11.6	$6.5k	1.8
Jose Quintana	SP	12.8	$8.7k	1.5

Predictions

Tampa Bay Rays

ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 49%

-105 · $95 per $100

WIN

Tampa Bay Rays +1.5

RL · 2.2 off line

-162 · $62 per $100

WIN

OVER 9.5

TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 9.5

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Tampa Bay Rays ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 9.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+503 · $503 per $100

LOSS

MIL 50% 50% TB

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	81.8%	18.2%
6.5	76.1%	23.9%
7.5	64.9%	35.1%
8.5	56.4%	43.6%
9.5	45.7%	54.3%
10.5	37.3%	62.7%
11.5	29.8%	70.2%
12.5	24.5%	75.5%

Run Line (margin)

Line	TB covers	MIL covers
TB -1.5	29.3%	42.4%
TB -2.5	19.4%	31.0%
TB -3.5	14.0%	20.9%

Team Totals

Line	TB	MIL
O 3.5	60.0%	67.5%
O 4.5	44.2%	52.8%
O 5.5	31.6%	39.4%
O 6.5	22.2%	29.5%

Odds

moneyline TB 50% · -105 · $95 per $100

Book	MIL	Impl%	TB	Impl%
DraftKings	-115	51.1%	-105	48.9%

runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100

MIL -1.5: MIL 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs TB 5.1 no bet

TB +1.5: TB 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs MIL 4.5 BET ✓

Book	MIL		TB
DraftKings	-1.5	+136	+1.5	-162

total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.5 +100	U 9.5 -120

Player Projections actual (projected)

Milwaukee Brewers

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Christian Yelich	LF	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.4	0.9	11.5	—
Rhys Hoskins	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.9	11.1	—
William Contreras	C	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	10.6	—
Jackson Chourio	LF	1.1	0.2	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.9	10.5	—
Brice Turang	2B	1.1	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.3	0.9	9.0	—
Jake Bauers	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.3	1.0	8.5	—
Sal Frelick	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.7	7.8	—
Caleb Durbin	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.5	7.6	—
Joey Ortiz	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.7	6.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Jose Quintana	Starter	6.0	5.5	5.7	2.2	2.9	53%	100%	12.8	—

Tampa Bay Rays

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Yandy Díaz	1B	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.8	10.7	—
Christopher Morel	CF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.2	9.6	—
Junior Caminero	3B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.9	9.0	—
Brandon Lowe	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	1.1	8.7	—
Danny Jansen	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.4	—
Taylor Walls	SS	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.9	7.4	—
Curtis Mead	1B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	7.0	—
José Caballero	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	1.0	6.7	—
Chandler Simpson	CF	0.9	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.7	6.5	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Zack Littell	Starter	6.0	5.0	6.1	2.0	3.4	41%	100%	11.6	—