Philadelphia Phillies
52% win
7
pred 4.3
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
48% win
6
pred 5.4
2025-05-08 George M. Steinbrenner Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Taylor Walls UTIL 18.0 $2.9k 6.2
Bryson Stott UTIL 25.0 $4.8k 5.2
Brandon Marsh UTIL 14.0 $2.7k 5.2
Yandy Díaz UTIL 18.0 $3.8k 4.7
Junior Caminero UTIL 18.0 $4.1k 4.4
José Caballero UTIL 13.0 $3.4k 3.8
Max Muncy UTIL 10.0 $3.4k 2.9
Trea Turner UTIL 15.0 $5.2k 2.9
Danny Jansen UTIL 8.0 $3.0k 2.7
Ryan Pepiot UTIL 15.1 $6.3k 2.4
Will Smith UTIL 10.0 $4.2k 2.4
Shohei Ohtani UTIL 14.0 $6.5k 2.2
Jonathan Aranda UTIL 9.0 $4.3k 2.1
Travis Jankowski UTIL 5.0 $2.4k 2.1
Jack Dreyer UTIL 7.0 $4.0k 1.7
Alec Bohm UTIL 5.0 $3.2k 1.6
Curtis Mead UTIL 3.0 $2.1k 1.4
Mookie Betts UTIL 8.0 $5.7k 1.4
J.T. Realmuto UTIL 5.0 $3.9k 1.3
Matt Strahm UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Jesús Luzardo UTIL 11.2 $9.0k 1.2
Andy Pages UTIL 5.0 $4.3k 1.2
Max Kepler UTIL 4.0 $4.1k 1.0
Chandler Simpson UTIL 3.0 $3.5k 0.9
Freddie Freeman UTIL 5.0 $6.2k 0.8
Pete Fairbanks UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Jordan Romano UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Carlos Hernández UTIL 5.5 $7.3k 0.8
Michael Conforto UTIL 2.0 $3.3k 0.6
Johan Rojas UTIL 2.0 $3.4k 0.6
Edmundo Sosa UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
Garrett Cleavinger UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Kyle Schwarber UTIL 3.0 $5.6k 0.5
Brandon Lowe UTIL 2.0 $3.9k 0.5
Christopher Morel UTIL 2.0 $4.0k 0.5
Nick Castellanos UTIL 2.0 $4.4k 0.5
Yoshinobu Yamamoto UTIL 4.5 $10.0k 0.5
Bryce Harper UTIL 2.0 $5.5k 0.4
Manuel Rodríguez UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Mason Montgomery UTIL 0.8 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.7 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+445 · $445 per $100
WIN
PHI 52% 48% TB
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.2% 17.8%
6.5 73.9% 26.1%
7.5 63.2% 36.8%
8.5 56.2% 43.8%
9.5 47.7% 52.3%
10.5 41.9% 58.1%
11.5 32.5% 67.5%
12.5 25.1% 74.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineTB coversPHI covers
TB -1.5 29.1% 45.2%
TB -2.5 21.0% 35.1%
TB -3.5 13.4% 27.1%
Team Totals
LineTBPHI
O 3.5 57.1% 68.8%
O 4.5 42.8% 57.1%
O 5.5 30.0% 44.5%
O 6.5 21.4% 33.4%
Odds
moneyline PHI 52% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookPHIImpl%TBImpl%
DraftKings -148 57.2% +124 42.8%
runline Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs TB 5.4 no bet
TB +1.5: TB 5.4 + 1.5 = 6.9 vs PHI 4.3 BET ✓
BookPHITB
DraftKings -1.5 +120 +1.5 -142
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 +100 U 9.0 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.8 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.0 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.3 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.6 —
Nick Castellanos RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.5 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.4 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 9.2 —
Brandon Marsh CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Luzardo Starter 6.1 6.4 5.8 2.2 2.9 55% 100% 18.0 —
Tampa Bay Rays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yandy Díaz 1B 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.5 —
Jonathan Aranda 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.2 —
Christopher Morel CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 8.2 —
Junior Caminero 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.0 —
Danny Jansen C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
Curtis Mead 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Kameron Misner LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.7 —
José Caballero SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Taylor Walls SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan Pepiot Starter 6.0 6.1 5.9 2.3 3.4 40% 100% 13.5 —